Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Alton Aviation Consultancy he makahiki koʻikoʻi ʻo 2023 no Advanced Air Mobility (AAM), ʻoiai ke hele nei ka ʻoihana i ke komo ʻana i loko o ka lawelawe (EIS) a me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka ʻoihana.

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Joshua Ng, ka luna hoʻomalu o ke keʻena ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo honua ʻo Alton's Singapore: "Me kekahi mau mea hoʻomohala eVTOL alakaʻi i hāʻawi iā EIS i 2025, ʻo ia ka makahiki e hoʻomaka ai ka lāʻau e hālāwai me ke ala no ka ʻoihana. Ma waena o nā kumu koʻikoʻi koʻikoʻi, ʻo ia hoʻi ke kālā, ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hana, a me ka hoʻoponopono ʻana, pono e hala i nā milestone koʻikoʻi i kēia makahiki e mālama i ka ʻike ma ke ala a hoʻoholo i nā lanakila hope loa o ka ʻoihana.

Wahi a Alton's analysis, nui nā AAM Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM) i kēia lā i hoʻonui ʻia ma mua o $8b mai nā mea hoʻopukapuka a loaʻa iā 12,000 mau kauoha mai nā mea kūʻai aku a puni ka honua.

Ua ʻike ʻo Ng: "ʻOiai ʻo ka loaʻa ʻana o ka loaʻa kālā a hiki i kēia lā, pono nā OEM e hoʻonui i ke kapena ma mua a ma o EIS. ʻO nā uku mua o ka hoʻouna ʻana mai nā mea kūʻai aku e hana nui i ka hui kālā. I ʻAukake 2022, hāʻawi ʻo United Airlines i $ 10m i nā uku predelivery no 100 Archer eVTOL mokulele. I kēia makahiki, aia nā maka e hiki ai i nā OEM ke hana hou i kēlā kūleʻa me nā mea kūʻai aku. "

"Pono ʻia kēia kālā hou no ka mea ke manaʻo nei nā OEM e hōʻea i nā milestone hōʻoia kaʻa nui i nā mahina 24 e hiki mai ana. No ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hana ʻana, pono lākou e hoʻomaikaʻi i nā pūnaewele i loaʻa a hoʻomohala i nā mea hana kiʻekiʻe e hana i nā mokulele i hoʻokō ʻia, e hoʻokō i nā pahuhopu EIS a me ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hana ma mua o ka hoʻopuka mua ʻana.

Hoʻomaopopo ʻo Alton e hilinaʻi pū ʻia nā milestone EIS o OEM i nā regulators e like me ka US's Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) a me ka European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) e hoʻomau nei i ka wikiwiki i kā lākou hana ponoʻī. "ʻOiai e wehewehe ana nā mea hoʻoponopono i nā blueprints no ka hoʻohui ʻana i ka ea, pono e hoʻomohala ʻia ka manaʻo holoʻokoʻa o nā hana ma waena o ka honua, ea, a me ka kaʻa a hoʻāʻo ikaika ʻia ma mua o EIS," wahi a Ng.

ʻO ka loiloi piha a Alton i nā pilikia e kū nei i ka ʻoihana AAM i kēia makahiki ua uhi ʻia i ka 'Advanced Air Mobility Entry-Into-Service: Key Industry Milestones Ahead.'

Wahi a kahi noiʻi ʻokoʻa ʻo Alton o ka mākeke AAM, 'eVTOL kauoha: 2022 wīwī', 50% o nā kauoha mokulele i Dekemaba 2022 i waiho ʻia e nā mea hoʻokele kaʻa kalepa, aʻo 30% i hana ʻia e nā ʻoihana a me nā mea hoʻokele mokulele. ʻIke ʻo Alton i nā kauoha eVTOL honua i ka manawa e like ana me ka 7% o ka mokulele kalepa o kēia manawa a me nā ʻoihana a me nā ʻauwaʻa mokulele ākea. ʻO ka nānā ʻana o Alton e kālele ana i nā kauoha mokulele ʻaoʻao ʻekolu, me ka ʻole o nā mea hoʻohana i manaʻo e hana i kā lākou mau ʻauwaʻa ponoʻī.

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Alan Lim, ka luna hoʻokūkū ma ke keʻena ʻo Alton's Singapore a me ka mea kākau o ka noiʻi mākeke 2022: "ʻOiai ua hana kekahi mau mea hana i hoʻokahi ʻano mokulele eVTOL, ua hoʻokaʻawale nā mea hana e like me Bristow Group i nā kauoha ma waena o nā OEM he nui. ʻO ka hoʻoholo e hoʻokō i kahi hoʻolālā kauoha like ʻole e hōʻemi i ka ʻike o ka mea hoʻohana i kahi OEM hoʻokahi, a ʻo kekahi e makemake i nā hoʻolālā mokulele ʻē aʻe no nā misionari like ʻole e like me ka halihali kaʻa, ka ukana, a me ka medevac.

ʻIke ʻia ka noiʻi mākeke o Alton ʻo ʻAmelika ʻĀkau, ʻo ia ka mea ma kahi o 55% o ka nui o nā kauoha eVTOL, ke alakaʻi nei i ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻāpana AAM, me nā mea hana ma laila e kauoha ana i ʻekolu mau kaʻa ea hou aʻe ma mua o ka ʻāina nui loa.

Ua hoʻopau ʻo Ng: "Ua hoʻomau ka nui o ka eVTOL i ka makahiki 2022. I kēia makahiki, manaʻo mākou e ʻike i ka hoʻomau ʻana o nā ʻano i ʻike ʻia i ka wā, me nā OEM hou e komo ana i ka mākeke, nā OEM i kēia manawa e hoʻoikaika ana i kā lākou mau hana hoʻolaha, a ʻoi aku ka nui o nā mea hana e noʻonoʻo nui ana. eVTOL i kā lākou hoʻolālā ʻoihana a makemake e hui pū me nā mea hana.

He aha e lawe ʻia mai kēia ʻatikala:

This year, we expect to see a continuation of the trends seen in the period, with new OEMs entering the market, existing OEMs intensifying their operator outreach activities, and more operators seriously considering eVTOL in their business strategies and willing to partner with manufacturers.
The decision to implement a diverse order strategy may be partly to lessen the operator's risk exposure to a single OEM, and partly to favor different aircraft designs for different missions such as passenger transport, cargo, and medevac.
“With several leading eVTOL developers committed to EIS in 2025, this is the year in which the rubber must start meeting the road for the industry.