ʻAʻole hiki ke ʻoi aku ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ma mua o kēia manawa, ʻoiai ʻo ka hapa nui o nā mokulele mokulele US ma kahi paheʻe lōʻihi a ʻo nā mea maikaʻi loa e ana ʻia e ka liʻiliʻi o kā lākou lilo ʻana i ka waiwai.
I loko o ka makahiki i hala iho nei, ua emi iho ka huina kālā o ka mākeke hui - ke kumu kūʻai o ka mahele o ka waiwai i hoʻonui ʻia e ka helu o nā ʻāpana kūʻokoʻa - o nā mokulele mokulele 10 nui loa i hāʻule i ka 57 pakeneka, ua nalowale ka $ 23.5 biliona i ka waiwai.
Ma waho aʻe o Southwest Airlines Co., ka mea i kū i waho no ka mea ua emi wale ma kahi o 12 pakeneka, ua hāʻule ke kumukūʻai mākeke o nā ʻeiwa ʻē aʻe he 73 pakeneka.
Hiki i kahi mea hoʻopukapuka kālā me ka nui o ke kālā a me ka naʻaupō o ka ʻoihana mokulele ke kūʻai aku i ka ʻāpana holoʻokoʻa ma lalo o $ 18 biliona.
"ʻAʻole hiki iaʻu ke hoʻomanaʻo i kahi manawa i loaʻa ai iā mākou ka luku ʻana i nā waiwai mokulele," wahi a ka mea loiloi mokulele ʻo Wall Street ʻo Julius Maldutis.
ʻO Mr. Maldutis, ka pelekikena o kāna hui kūkākūkā ponoʻī, ʻo Aviation Dynamics, ke hoʻopiʻi nei i ka haunaele holoʻokoʻa i nā kumukūʻai wahie mokulele. Nui ka waiwai o nā mokulele i ka wā i emi ai nā kumukūʻai wahie i ʻelua makahiki i hala; i ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai wahie jet, ua hāʻule nā kumukūʻai mokulele, wahi āna.
"Inā ʻoe e hoʻi i ʻAukake i ka makahiki 2006, i ka wā i emi iho ai nā kumukūʻai aila ma kahi o 50 pakeneka, ua piʻi nā kumukūʻai o nā mokulele he 45 pakeneka," wahi a Mr. Maldutis. "E hoʻomaka ana i Ianuali o ka makahiki i hala, ua piʻi wale nā kumukūʻai aila i ka makahiki holoʻokoʻa, a ua iho nā kumukūʻai o nā mokulele mokulele."
I kēia manawa, ua hoʻololi nā lilo o ka wahie i nā kumukūʻai hana ma ke ʻano he nui loa o ka hoʻolimalima ʻana i nā hana mokulele, ʻoi aku ka hilinaʻi o ke kumukūʻai o nā mokulele mokulele i nā kumukūʻai aila, wahi a Mr. Maldutis.
"ʻO ka wā e hiki mai ana o ka ʻoihana mokulele US e pili ana i ka aila," wahi āna.
Nā hāʻule nui
ʻO ka mea paʻakikī loa i waena o nā mea lawe nui he 10 ʻo ia ʻo US Airways Group Inc., nona ka waiwai kūʻai i hōʻemi i ka 92 pakeneka i ka makahiki i hala: mai $ 2.7 biliona ma Iune 27, 2007, a i $ 226 miliona ma ka Pōʻalima.
ʻO ka mea lawe kaʻa, i hoʻokumu ʻia i Kepakemapa 2005 i ka wā i hui pū ai ʻo America West Holdings Inc. me ka US Airways Group ma mua a lawe ʻia mai ka pale ʻana i ka panakalupa, ua piʻi aʻe i kahi kokoke i $5.8 biliona i Nowemapa 2006 ma hope o kona manaʻo ʻana i kahi hui me Delta Air Lines Inc.
Ua hoʻoulu kēia manaʻo i ka lele nui ʻana o nā kumukūʻai o nā mokulele e like me ka manaʻo o nā mea hoʻopukapuka e pono ke hoʻohui maikaʻi i kekahi.
Akā naʻe, ua hōʻole ʻo Delta i ka hāʻawi ʻana o ka US Airways, a ua hoʻihoʻi i kāna noi Jan. 31, 2007. Ua hōʻole ʻo Midwest Air Group Inc. i kahi kūʻai mai AirTran Holdings Inc. Ua lohe ʻia nā hana ʻē aʻe akā ʻaʻole i hoʻokō ʻia.
ʻO nā ʻāpana o AMR Corp., makua o American Airlines Inc., ua piʻi i ka $40.66 ma Ianuali 19, 2007, ko lākou kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe mai Ianuali 2001. Akā e like me nā mea lawe ʻē aʻe, ua ʻike ʻo AMR i kāna mau ʻāpana me ka paʻa mau mai ia manawa.
Ua pani ʻia ma kahi haʻahaʻa e like me $5.22 i ka ʻāpana ma Iune 12, hoʻopau i ka Pōʻalima ma $5.35.
Hoʻihoʻi ia i nā ʻāpana AMR i kā lākou pae kālepa o ka punawai 2003 i ka wā i pale aku ai ka ʻoihana i kahi waihona banekorupa Mokuna 11.
Ua puka mai nā mokulele i waiho no ka palekana Mokuna 11 mai nā hana hoʻokolokolo me nā waiwai hou me nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe. Eia naʻe, ʻaʻole i ʻike ʻia kēlā mau pae poʻo ma hope koke o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ke kālepa ʻana.
Ua hoʻomaka ʻo Delta i ke kālepa ʻana i kāna kumukūʻai hou Mei 3, 2007. Ua pani ʻia ia lā ma $20.72 i ka mahele. Ma ka Pōʻalima, ua pani ʻia ma $ 5.52, ma lalo o 73 pakeneka mai kona pani ʻana i ka lā mua.
Ua kaena ʻo Northwest Airlines Corp. i ke kumukūʻai o $25.15 ma Mei 31, 2007, ʻo ia ka lā mua o ke kālepa ʻana ma hope o ka haʻalele ʻana i ka ʻaha panakalupa. E like me Delta, ua ʻike ʻo Northwest i ka piʻi ʻana o kāna mau ʻāpana i ke kumukūʻai i ka lā kālepa e hiki mai ana, a laila hoʻomaka i kahi paheʻe. Ua pani ʻia kāna mau ʻāpana i ka Pōʻalima ma $ 6.31, ma lalo o 75 pakeneka mai ka lā mua.
ʻO ka hui pū ʻana o Delta a me Northwest, i hoʻolaha ʻia ʻApelila 14, ʻaʻole i mālama i kā lākou kumukūʻai. Ua emi iho nā māhele Delta i ka 47 pakeneka mai ia lā, me Northwest mai 44 pakeneka.
Ua haʻalele ʻo UAL Corp., ka makua o United Airlines Inc., i ka ʻaha banekorupa i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o Pepeluali 2006, a ʻike i kāna mau ʻāpana i kahi kokoke i $33.90 i kāna lā mua o ke kālepa ʻana iā Feb. 6 pakeneka.
ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, hiki i kahi mea hoʻopukapuka ke kūʻai aku i nā kumukūʻai a pau o UAL no $700 miliona - a i ʻole ma lalo o ʻeono mau lā o ka loaʻa kālā no Exxon Mobil Corp.
Akā ʻo ka liʻiliʻi loa o nā mea hoʻopukapuka i kēlā mau mokulele he 10 mau kālā i koe. ʻO ka poʻe i hoʻokomo kālā i loko o nā mea lawe e like me MAXjet Airways Inc., Aloha Ua ʻike ʻo Air Inc., Skybus Airlines Inc., Eos Airlines Inc. a me Silverjet PLC i kēlā mau mea lawe i ka panakalupa a hoʻopau i nā mahina ʻeono i hala.
Ke hoʻomau nei ʻo Frontier Airlines Holdings Inc. akā pono e ʻimi i ka pale o ka Mokuna 11 mai nā mea ʻaiʻē. ʻAʻole i banekorupa ʻo Champion Air Inc. a me Big Sky Airways Inc., akā, ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai i hoʻoikaika iā lākou e hoʻōki i ka hana, a ua koho nā mea kuleana o ka mea nona Big Sky, ʻo MAIR Inc., i ka Pōʻalima e hoʻopau a haʻalele i ka ʻoihana. E pau ana ka hana o ka hui Air Midwest o Mesa Air Group Inc.
He mau banekorupa hou aku?
Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Mr. Maldutis, inā ʻaʻole e emi ke kumukūʻai o ka wahie, ʻo ia ka hoʻomaka ʻana o kēlā mau mokulele mokulele.
"Ma ka lā Labor, ua ʻike mākou i kahi pūʻulu o nā mea lawe liʻiliʻi i pani ʻia," wahi āna. "A laila e ʻike mākou i ka mea lawe nui e hele i ka Mokuna 11." Inā hele ka aila i $150 a ma luna aʻe e like me ka wānana ʻana a kekahi, "e ʻike anei mākou i kēia ʻoihana holoʻokoʻa i ka panakalupa?" i ninau aku ai o Mr. Maldutis.
Ua hoʻāʻo ʻo Warren Buffett i ka mea hoʻopukapuka kaulana i kona lima i ka hoʻopukapuka ʻana i ka mokulele i ka makahiki 1989, e waiho ana i $358 miliona i loko o ka waihona i makemake ʻia ma US Airways Group. Ua hele mai ʻo ia mai ka ʻike i hoʻoholo ʻole e hoʻokomo hou i nā mokulele, ʻoiai ua loaʻa i kāna ʻoihana ka waiwai nui ma ka hoʻopukapuka.
ʻO ia ka mea i alakaʻi iā ia e hana i ka ʻōlelo he mea hiki iā ia ke kāhea aku e kamaʻilio iā ia ma waho o ka manaʻo inā hoʻoholo ʻo ia e hoʻokomo hou i nā mokulele. Ma kāna leka makahiki i nā mea kuleana ʻo Berkshire Hathaway i Pepeluali, ua ʻōlelo ʻo Mr. Buffett:
"ʻO ke ʻano ʻoi loa o ka ʻoihana ʻo ia ka mea e ulu wikiwiki ana, e koi ana i ke kālā nui e hoʻoulu ai i ka ulu ʻana, a laila loaʻa kālā liʻiliʻi a ʻaʻohe kālā. E noʻonoʻo i nā mokulele. Ma ʻaneʻi ua hōʻike paʻa ʻole ka lanakila hoʻokūkū paʻa mai nā lā o ka Wright Brothers," i kākau ai ʻo Mr. Buffett.
"ʻOiaʻiʻo, inā i hele mai kahi kapitalista makaʻala ma Kitty Hawk, inā ua hana ʻo ia i kāna mau hope i kahi lokomaikaʻi nui ma ke kī ʻana iā Orville.
"ʻO ke koi o ka ʻoihana mokulele no ke kapikala mai kēlā lele mua ʻana ʻaʻole i māʻona. Ua ninini nā mea hoʻopukapuka kālā i loko o kahi lua hohonu, hoihoi ʻia e ka ulu ʻana i ka wā i hoʻokuʻu ʻia lākou e ia, "wahi āna.
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