Ua koi ʻia paha nā mea lawe US ​​e ʻoki i ka hiki i ka noho e 5%.

Pono paha ʻo Delta Air Lines Inc., ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a me nā mea lawe ʻē aʻe o ʻAmelika e ʻoki a ʻoi aku ma kahi o 5 pākēneka hou aku ka nui o ka noho ma hope o ke kau huakaʻi kauwela e hoʻonui i nā uku.

Ma kahi o ʻelua hapakolu o nā hōʻemi e hiki mai ana ma nā ala huakaʻi i waho kahi i ʻoi aku ka nui o nā mokulele, wahi a Kevin Crissey, he loiloi ma UBS Securities LLC. Hōʻike paha nā mea lawe i ka hōʻoki ʻana i ka hiki ke hiki i ka lā ʻapōpō ma kahi ʻaha kūkā ma New York i mālama ʻia e ka hui ʻo Merrill Lynch o Bank of America Corp.

ʻO ka paheʻe he 12 mau mahina i ke kaʻa ma waena o nā mea lawe nui o US ʻo ia hoʻi he nui nā noho e kākoʻo i nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe. Kūkulu kahi puni hou o nā ʻoki ma ka hoʻopau ʻia ʻana o 10 pākēneka o ko US mau mokulele mokulele mai ka hoʻomaka o ka makahiki 2008, e like me ke kaʻa ʻana o 500 jet.

"ʻO kekahi mea o ka 3 pākēneka a 5 mau pākēneka pae paha ka mea a mākou e ʻike ai, a ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi," i ʻōlelo ʻo Crissey, ka mea e noho nei ma New York a paipai iā ia e kūʻai iā Delta, ka mokulele nui o ka honua.

Ua hāʻule paha ka loaʻa kālā o ka mokulele honua he 15 pākēneka i $ 448 biliona i kēia makahiki ma waena o ke "kūlana paʻakikī loa i kū i mua o ka ʻoihana," i ʻōlelo ʻia e ka International Air Transport Association ma Geneva ma Iune 8. E lilo paha nā mea lawe moku ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa ma kahi o $ 1 biliona, ke kālepa. wahi a ka hui.

E ʻokiʻoki nā mea lawe ma ka liʻiliʻi he 4 pākēneka hou aku ka hiki ke luhi nā kūʻai balota, kuhi ʻo Helane Becker, he mea kālailai ma Jesup & Lamont Securities Corp. ma New York. Paipai ʻo ia e kūʻai iā Delta, ka makua ʻAmelika ʻo AMR Corp., United Airlines makua UAL Corp. a me Continental Airlines Inc.

'Kekahi mea kōkua'

"ʻAʻole wau e manaʻo e ʻike i kahi lalo a i ʻole pickup a hiki i ka hapaha mua o 2010 i ka mua," i ʻōlelo ʻo Becker. "Ua ʻoki ka hapa nui o nā ʻoihana i nā moʻohelu huakaʻi a ʻaʻole lākou e hoʻoliʻiliʻi hou i kahi kālā a ʻike lākou i nā hōʻailona o ka hoʻomaikaʻi."

ʻO ka helu hana ʻole a ka US ma 9.4 pākēneka a Mei, ke kiʻekiʻena mai 1983. Ua emi paha ka hoʻokele waiwai i 2 pakeneka no ka hapaha o kēia manawa a e hoʻonui ʻia e 0.5 pakeneka i ka hapaha ʻekolu, e like me ka median estimates o 63 economists ana e Bloomberg.

Ua hāʻule ka Bloomberg US Airlines Index o 13 mau moku lawe he 41 pakeneka i kēia makahiki a nehinei.

No ʻekolu o nā mahina ʻehā i hala aku nei, ua heʻe ka huakaʻi i 10 pakeneka a ʻoi paha i ka hohonu ʻana o nā cutbacks huakaʻi.

"Makemake wau e ʻike ma ka liʻiliʻi he 5 pakeneka hou aʻe o ka hiki," wahi a Hunter Keay, he loiloi ma Stifel Nicolaus & Co. ma Baltimore. "Kōkua kekahi mea."

Aia paha ʻo Delta i ke "kūlana maikaʻi loa e ʻokiʻoki hou aku" no ka mea aia kekahi mau ala redundant a me nā mokulele keu mai ke kūʻai ʻana mai o Northwest Airlines i ka makahiki i hala, wahi a Keay. Paipai ʻo ia e kūʻai iā Delta a paʻa ʻo Continental, UAL, AMR a me Dallas-based Southwest Airlines Co.

Nā Loke Paka

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Delta iā ʻApelila e hoʻēmi ia i ka hiki i ka makahiki holoʻokoʻa holoʻokoʻa ma kahi o 7 pākēneka, ʻoiai e hōʻole ana ka lele home ʻana i 8 a 10 pakeneka. ʻAʻole hāʻawi ka mea lawe ma Atlanta i nā alakaʻi i hōʻano hou ʻia mai ʻApelila, wahi a Betsy Talton, he haʻi ʻōlelo.

Ua hiki paha iā ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa ke ʻokiʻoki i kekahi mau mokulele hou aku i Lādana Heathrow, a ua hoʻokū ʻia ʻo Chicago-based United i kekahi mau mokulele ʻo Boeing Co. 747 ma ke ʻano he ʻāpana o kā lākou hoʻolālā e lawe i nā mokulele he 100 mai ka lawelawe aku, wahi a Keay.

ʻO Jean Medina, he waha ʻōlelo UAL, i hōʻole e ʻōlelo. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Luna Nui ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa ʻo Gerard Arpey i ka mahina ʻo Iune 7 ma Kuala Lumpur e nānā pono ana ka mea lawe ʻo Fort Worth, Texas e pili ana i ka noi a ʻaʻole i hoʻoholo i kahi ʻoki hou aʻe.

Manaʻo paha ʻo Continental i ke kaomi e hoʻemi i kekahi lele lele honua ʻana no ka mea ua ʻokiʻoki ʻia kāna mau ʻokiʻoki ma hope o nā mea lawe nui aʻe, i ʻōlelo ʻia ʻo Michael Derchin, he mea kālailai ma FTN Equity Capital Markets Corp. ma New York. Pono e hōʻemi i ka nui o ka hiki o nā mea lawe US ​​ma kahi o 7 pākēneka i kēia makahiki.

'Nā hoʻoholo paʻakikī'

"Ua pane mau mākou i ke koi i ka mākeke," i ʻōlelo ʻia ʻo Julie King, kahi haʻi ʻōlelo no Continental. "Ke nānā pono nei mākou i ka mākeke a e hoʻomau mākou e hoʻomaʻa i ka hiki ke pono."

Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Continental iā ʻApelila e emi ana kona mākaukau makahiki piha a hiki i ka 3 pākēneka, ʻoiai e hāʻule ana ka mākaʻi kūloko ma nā mokulele nui o ka moku lawe ʻo Houston e like me 7 pākēneka.

Ua hōʻailona ʻo Mei i ka ʻelima pololei o ka emi o ka loaʻa kālā mai kēlā me kēia noho e holo ana i hoʻokahi mile ma Continental a me Tempe, ma muli o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa ʻo US Airways Group Inc., nā mea lawe e hōʻike mau nei i ka helu i kēlā me kēia mahina. Hōʻike hapa ke kulu i ka hāʻule o ka hua, a i ʻole ka averika o ka uku no kēlā me kēia mile, ke hoʻokūkū nei nā mea lawe i nā huakaʻi liʻiliʻi.

ʻAʻohe ʻo US Airways mau manaʻo e hōʻemi i ka hiki i kēia lā, "i ʻōlelo ai ka mea haʻi ʻōlelo ʻo Morgan Durrant i nehinei.

Hiki iā Delta, ʻAmelika, United a me Continental ke hoʻokuʻu i nā mokulele i kekahi mau kūlanakauhale kūwaho i nā lā lohi o ka pule e like me ka Pōʻalua a Pōʻakolu paha e loaʻa ai nā mālama kālā hou aʻe, i ʻōlelo ʻia e Robert Mann, ka mea nāna e mālama i ke keʻena kūkā mokulele ʻo RW Mann & Co. ma Port Washington, New York. .

"ʻO ka pilikia me ka hana ʻana e hāʻawi ʻoe i nā mea huakaʻi ʻoihana i hoʻokahi kumu e koho ai iā ʻoe," i ʻōlelo ʻo Mann. "Aia mākou i kahi manawa e pono ai e hoʻoholo i nā hoʻoholo paʻakikī e like me kēia."