Ke hoʻoweliweli nei nā kumukūʻai aila kiʻekiʻe i nā miliona o ka poʻe huakaʻi i maʻa i ka lele no ka leʻaleʻa a me ka ʻoihana i nā makahiki he 30 i hala.
Ua piʻi aʻe ka huakaʻi ea ma ʻAmelika i ʻelima mau manawa ʻoi aku ka wikiwiki ma mua o ka heluna kanaka mai ka makahiki 1978, i ka wā i ʻae mua ai ka deregulation i nā mokulele e hoʻokūkū ma o ka hoʻonohonoho ʻana i kā lākou mau kumukūʻai a me nā ala me ka ʻole o ka ʻae aupuni. I ka makahiki i hala aku nei, 769 miliona mau kaʻa i kau i nā mokulele mokulele US.
Akā, me nā kumu kūʻai wahie jet i loaʻa ʻole i kēia mau lā, ke ao nei nā luna o ka mokulele a me nā mea loiloi mokulele ʻo ka piʻi nui ʻana o ka uku a me ka hōʻemi nui ʻana o nā mokulele e hiki ai i ka ʻoihana ke uhi i kahi bila jet fuel 2008 e 44% kiʻekiʻe nā papahana hui kālepa o nā mokulele ma mua o ka makahiki i hala. .
Ma kēia manawa o ka makahiki e hiki mai ana, hiki i ka 20% ka liʻiliʻi o nā noho i loaʻa inā pane nā mea lawe i nā kumukūʻai aila ma mua o $ 100 i ka barela ma ka ʻoki ʻana i nā mokulele e like me ka manaʻo o nā mea loiloi palekana e like me JPMorgan's Jamie Baker.
E like ia me ka pani ʻana i kahi mea lawe kaʻa e like me ka American Airlines, (AMR) ka mea nui loa o ka honua, a me kāna mau mea lawe āpana, e hana ana i nā mokulele 4,000 i kēlā me kēia lā. ʻO ia wale nō ka mea e hoʻonui nui ai i ka noi a me nā kumukūʻai no nā tiketi mokulele.
E liʻiliʻi nā mokulele i kēlā me kēia lā ma nā kūlanakauhale o nā ʻano nui, nā mokulele piha i ka lā a ʻoi aku ka pilikia. E liʻiliʻi nā huakaʻi hoʻomaha ʻole a me nā hoʻomaha lōʻihi ma waena o nā mokulele pili. A ʻo ka poʻe huakaʻi i haʻalele lōʻihi i nā mokulele ma 6 am a i ʻole 10 pm ʻaʻohe koho ʻē aʻe.
ʻO kēlā mau ʻano hoʻololi i ka hele ʻana o ka poʻe ʻAmelika he mea hiki ʻole ke pale ʻia: ʻO ka lele nui ʻana i nā kumukūʻai wahie ke alakaʻi ʻia nei e ka piʻi nui ʻana o ka noi i nā ʻoihana ulu wikiwiki o Kina a me India, instability i Venezuela waiwai waiwai, Nigeria, Iraq a me Iran, nā manaʻo hoʻopukapuka kālā. a me nā kumu ʻē aʻe.
"ʻAʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke hoʻohaʻahaʻa i ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai wahie a me ke ʻano o ka hoʻololi maoli ʻana i ka ʻoihana," wahi a Delta Air Lines (DAL) CEO Richard Anderson, nāna i manaʻo e piʻi ke kumukūʻai tiketi 15% a 20% wale nō e uhi i nā kumukūʻai wahie. .
Ke ʻike nei nā mea kūʻai aku i ka wā e hiki mai ana o ka huakaʻi.
Hōʻike ka pūnaewele Travelocity i nā kumukūʻai i kēia kauwela i ʻewalu mau wahi kaulana - me Boston, New York, Chicago, South Florida, Denver a me Los Angeles - ua piʻi ma kahi o 18% mai ke kauwela i hala.
E uku ka ʻohana ʻehā iā Delta Air Lines ma kahi o $2,500 e lele mai Cincinnati a i Los Angeles i kēia kauwela inā kūʻai lākou i nā tiketi i kēia manawa. Inā piʻi hou nā kumukūʻai tiketi i 20%, e like me kā Anderson e ʻōlelo ai he pono, e uku kēlā ʻohana ma kahi o $3,000.
"E kūʻai ʻia ana kekahi mau huakaʻi leʻaleʻa" mai nā mokulele, wahi a Tom Parsons, Luna Nui o ka pūnaewele huakaʻi BestFares.com.
No nā ʻohana he nui, ʻo nā hoʻomaha hoʻomaha ma ka mokulele i loaʻa i loko o kā lākou kālā hiki ke lilo i mea waiwai ʻole, wahi a Parsons a me nā loea huakaʻi ʻē aʻe.
No nā ʻoihana a me nā ʻoihana liʻiliʻi, hiki i ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai o ka huakaʻi ke pāpā iā lākou mai ka hana ʻana i nā kelepona kūʻai mamao aku e ulu i kā lākou ʻoihana.
Ua hoʻoweliweli ʻia nā mākeke liʻiliʻi
ʻO nā kūlanakauhale liʻiliʻi a me ka liʻiliʻi i lawelawe ʻia i kēia manawa a i ʻole holoʻokoʻa e nā mokulele āpana he 50 noho i hiki ke hoʻopau me ka liʻiliʻi loa o nā mokulele i kēlā me kēia lā, no ka mea, i nā kumukūʻai wahie o kēia lā, ʻaʻole hiki i nā jet liʻiliʻi piha piha i ke kālā e hōʻoia i ka helu like o nā mokulele. .
ʻO nā kūlanakauhale liʻiliʻi me nā mokulele liʻiliʻi i kēlā me kēia lā hiki ke paʻakikī i ka hoʻolaha ʻana iā lākou iho he mau wahi maikaʻi no nā ʻaha kūkā, nā hale hana hou a i ʻole nā keʻena ʻoihana.
"ʻAʻole e nalowale nā kaiāulu i ka lawelawe lewa, akā e nalowale lākou i ka lawelawe ʻana i ka lewa, no ka mea e ʻoi aku ka nui o ke kumukūʻai," wahi a Michael Boyd, ka mea aʻoaʻo mokulele.
Hiki i ka hopena ripple o nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe a me nā uku ukana ea ke hoʻopilikia i kēlā me kēia ʻāpana o ka hoʻokele waiwai e hilinaʻi ana i ka lawelawe ea.
Hiki ke pilikia nā hōkele, nā hōkele, nā laina holo moku a me nā wahi hui. ʻO ka mākaʻikaʻi, ʻoi aku hoʻi ma nā mokuʻāina e like me Florida, Nevada a me Hawaii e hilinaʻi nui nei iā ia, hiki ke hōʻeha, hōʻino i nā ʻoihana mokuʻāina a me ka koi ʻana i nā ʻoki i nā lawelawe aupuni.
Ua kōkua ke kumukūʻai wahie kiʻekiʻe i ka hoʻokuʻi ʻia ʻana o ka hui ʻana o ʻApelila 14 ma waena o Delta a me Northwest (NWA), nona ka male e hoʻopuka i ka mea lawe nui loa o ka honua.
Ua hoʻohiki ʻo Delta a me Northwest ʻaʻole e pani i kekahi o kā lākou mau kikowaena mokulele ʻehiku inā ʻae nā mea hoʻoponopono federal i kā lākou ʻaelike, akā ua hoʻopau nā mea ʻelua i nā mokulele pono ʻole. Hiki i nā hui hou aʻe - ke kamaʻilio nei ʻo United a me US Airways - i kahi ʻano hiki ke hōʻemi i ka hoʻokūkū ma waena o nā mea lawe.
"E loli ana nā ʻano huakaʻi," wānana ʻo Northwest CEO Doug Steenland.
E hoʻomaka ana ka poʻe mākaʻikaʻi e ʻike i nā loli nui i kēia hāʻule ʻana e like me ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻana o nā mokulele nui i ka lawelawe ma ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana i nā ala, hoʻololi i nā mokulele liʻiliʻi a hōʻemi i ka helu o nā mokulele i kēlā me kēia lā ma kahi ala.
ʻO ka pahuhopu o nā mokulele: E hoʻonui i ke kumu kūʻai maʻamau i uku ʻia no kēlā me kēia noho i koe e hoʻonui i ka loaʻa kālā ma ke galani o ka wahie i puhi ʻia.
ʻO Delta, ʻo ke kolu o ka mea lawe moku nui loa o USA, e hoʻopau i nā mokulele 20 piha piha a hiki i 70 mau mokulele liʻiliʻi liʻiliʻi i kēia makahiki. Ke huki nei ia mai kekahi mau kūlanakauhale, e like me: Atlantic City; Islip, Long Island; Tupelo, Miss.; a me Corpus Christi, Texas.
I kēia mahina, hoʻopau ʻo JetBlue (JBLU) i ka lawelawe ma waena o New York a me Tucson.
ʻO nā huakaʻi o kēlā ala i kēia manawa - hoʻokahi i kēlā me kēia lā - ma ke ʻano he 70% piha. Eia nō naʻe, i nā kumukūʻai o kēia manawa a me nā kumukūʻai wahie, pono nā mokulele he 85% piha no JetBlue e haki iā lākou, e like me ka ʻikepili mokulele.
ʻO United Airlines ma Chicago, (UAUA) ka lua o ka mokulele nui loa o ka ʻāina, e hoʻomaha ma ka liʻiliʻi he 30 o kāna mau mokulele kahiko loa a emi loa i ka wahie i kēia makahiki.
Ua nalowale ʻo United i $ 537 miliona i nā mahina ʻekolu o kēia makahiki, ʻo kāna poho nui loa mai ka puka ʻana mai o ka hoʻonohonoho hou ʻana i ka panakalupa ma 2006.
Ke hoʻolālā nei ʻo ʻAmelika, Continental (CAL) a me Northwest i nā ʻoki liʻiliʻi. Eia naʻe, ʻōlelo kekahi mau alakaʻi ʻoihana a me nā mea loiloi ʻaʻole i lawa ka hohonu o nā ʻoki i hoʻolaha ʻia. Ke wānana nei kekahi e hiki mai ana nā ʻoki hou aʻe.
"Ke hōʻoiaʻiʻo nei au iā ʻoe inā e mau ke kumukūʻai aila ma ka pae like ... e ʻike ʻoe i nā hōʻemi hou aʻe o ka hiki," i ʻōlelo ai ʻo AirTran (AAI) CEO Bob Fornaro i ka pule i hala.
Ua manaʻo ʻia ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku
Ua hoʻokiʻekiʻe nā mokulele i 10 mau manawa mai ka waena o Dekemaba, a ke hōʻike nei kekahi i ka piʻi ʻana o ka 11 i kēia pule. Ua manaʻo nui ʻia ka lele ʻana o nā kumukūʻai tiketi.
Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Parsons, ke uku nei ka poʻe huakaʻi ma nā ala lōʻihi ma mua o 1,500 mau mile a hiki i $260 keu aʻe no kahi tikiki huakaʻi huakaʻi ma mua o ʻehā mau mahina i hala. ʻOi aku ka kiʻekiʻe o nā piʻi ma kekahi mau ala.
Ua lele ʻo Consultant Richard Leck, ka mea nāna i hoʻokumu i Bruin Consulting ma Bedford, NH, i kēlā me kēia pule mai Boston a i ʻole Manchester, NH, ma Chicago a hiki i Kapalakiko, kahi i hoʻokumu ʻia ai kāna mea kūʻai.
Mai ka hāʻule hope aku nei, ua lele kāna huakaʻi mokulele mai $800 huakaʻi kaʻapuni i $1,500. ʻO ia kekahi no ka mea ua hoʻōki ʻo United i ka lawelawe mai Chicago a i Oakland, ʻoi aku ka maʻalahi o ka lele ʻana ma mua o San Francisco International. Ua hoʻololi pū ʻo United i nā mokulele liʻiliʻi ma Manchester; kūʻai wikiwiki ʻia nā noho.
ʻO ka pule i hala aku nei, ua kūʻai ʻo ia i kāna tikiki no ka lele hoʻokuʻu ʻole mai Bosetona a i Kapalakiko he $2,400 ka huakaʻi kaʻapuni, ʻo ia hoʻi, no ka mea, ua hoʻololi ʻo ia i kāna tikiki mua, me nā uku keu.
"Ua hauʻoli wau," wahi āna. "Loaʻa i kēlā me kēia kanaka ko lākou palena, ʻo kēlā me kēia kanaka a me nā mea kūʻai aku ʻoihana."
Ua ʻike ʻia kahi noiʻi ʻo USA TODAY/Gallup i ʻApelila he 45% o nā huakaʻi mokulele e liʻiliʻi i ka lele i kēia kauwela inā ʻoi aku ka nui o nā uku.
Ke alakaʻi ʻia e ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku, piʻi ka loaʻa kālā no nā mea lawe US ma kahi o 10% i nā mahina mua ʻekolu o kēia makahiki, kahi lele olakino i nā manawa maʻamau. Akā ʻo kēlā me kēia mea lawe nui US koe wale nō ʻo Southwest Airlines (LUV) i hoʻopuka i nā poho i ka hapaha. Ua piʻi ke kumukūʻai o ka wahie i 50% a ʻoi aku paha.
ʻAʻole i loaʻa i kekahi mau mea lawe kaʻa kālā e pale aku i nā koina kumukūʻai. Ua koi ʻia nā kumukūʻai wahie ʻehiku mau mea lawe liʻiliʻi US e pani mai ka Kalikimaka. Ua koi ʻia ʻo Frontier Airlines e ʻimi i ka palekana o ka ʻaha panakalupa Mokuna 11 ma ʻApelila 11.
ʻOiai ʻo Southwest, ka mea i hōʻike i 17 mau makahiki o ka loaʻa ʻole o ka loaʻa kālā o ka hapaha, ua nalowale ke kālā i ka lele ʻana i ka hapaha hope.
Ua hōʻike ʻia he $34 miliona ka loaʻa kālā ma muli o kāna papahana paʻa wahie paʻa. Ma o ke kālepa hoʻoikaika kino ʻana i nā ʻaelike aila e hiki mai ana, ua hiki iā Southwest ke kīkēkē i $302 miliona mai kāna mea e uku ai inā kūʻai ʻo ia i kāna wahie āpau i nā kumukūʻai mākeke o kēia manawa.
Hoʻomaopopo ka poʻe hoʻokele o ka mea lawe kaʻa ʻaʻole hiki iā lākou ke pāʻani i kēlā pāʻani paʻakikī paʻa mau loa.
Ma hope o ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i ka laina e kūʻē i ka piʻi ʻana o ka uku i nā mahina mua ʻekolu o kēia makahiki, ua hoʻonui ʻo Southwest i nā kumukūʻai ʻelua i nā pule mua ʻelua o ʻApelila.
“ʻO ka mea ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻaʻohe mokulele US e loaʻa kahi kumu hoʻohālike pāʻoihana hoʻomau inā paʻa nā kumukūʻai aila $117-a-barela," wahi a Dave Emerson, ke poʻo o ka ʻoihana kūkākūkā mokulele honua o Bain & Co.
Kāohi ʻia nā papahana hoʻonui
ʻO ke komohana hema, ka mea i hoʻonui ikaika i nā mokulele US no 35 mau makahiki, ʻaʻole e ulu i ka hapa lua o kēia makahiki.
ʻAʻole hoʻi ʻo AirTran ka mea kūʻai kūʻai ma Orlando, ka mea e ulu ana ma nā helu makahiki ʻelua mai ka makahiki 2002.
ʻO ka hoʻopaʻa ʻana i nā ʻoihana hiki ke koho maʻalahi. Hoʻokahi mea e kūʻai aku ai i nā mokulele mokulele. ʻO ka huki ʻana i waho o ke kūlanakauhale ʻo ia hoʻi ka pani ʻana i nā helu helu tiketi a me nā ʻīpuka, a me ka waiho ʻana a hoʻoneʻe paha i nā limahana.
"Ke hoʻoholo ʻoe e hoʻopau i kēlā mau mea, ʻaʻole hiki iā ʻoe ke maʻalahi a hoʻihoʻi koke iā lākou," wahi a Emerson.
ʻO ia nā hoʻoholo paʻakikī a nā mokulele e hana nei i kēia makahiki, ʻoiai he mau piliona kālā kā lākou i ka lima.
Ma ka makahiki 2009, inā ʻaʻole i emi ke kumukūʻai o ka wahie mokulele a ʻaʻole hiki i nā mokulele ke hoʻonui i nā kumukūʻai, hiki i nā mea lawe pū me nā waihona panakō nui ke hoʻomaka i ka nele o ke kālā a paʻakikī ke hōʻaiʻē.
"E nui aʻe nā hemahema o ka mokulele i kēia kaiapuni, a hiki iā lākou ke hoʻokaʻawale ʻia," wahi a Delta Chief Financial Officer Edward Bastian.
Hoʻohālikelike ʻo JPMorgan's Baker i ka hopena kālā o ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai wahie mokulele i nā mokulele mokulele i hoʻopilikia ʻia ma hope o ka hoʻouka kaua hoʻoweliweli ʻo Sept.
ʻO nā miliona o ka poʻe kaʻa, no ka makaʻu, haʻalele i ka lele, hoʻouna i ka ʻoihana i kahi hāʻule manuahi kālā. Ua hoʻonui ke aupuni i ka palekana o ka mokulele a me ka mokulele, a ua hoʻi hope nā mea holo.
Akā, ʻoi aku ka pilikia o ke kumukūʻai wahie o kēia lā i kahi pilikia paʻakikī.
ʻAʻohe mea hoʻoponopono maʻalahi i ka lele ʻana o nā kumukūʻai, ʻoi aku ka 60% i ʻApelila ma ʻApelila 2007.
Ua ʻōlelo ka poʻe loiloi ʻoihana ʻaila he mau makahiki ma mua o ka hiki ke hoʻopaʻa ʻia i nā lako aila hou, kūkulu ʻia nā mea hoʻomaʻemaʻe hou a i ʻole nā mea ʻē aʻe i ka wahie i hoʻokumu ʻia i ka aila i kūkulu ʻia a hana ʻia i ka nui o ka hoʻoulu ʻana i nā mokulele, e hoʻomaka ana i 30,000 mau mokulele i ka lā. Hoʻopau ka mokulele kino ākea i 30,000 galani a ʻoi aku paha i kēlā me kēia hoʻopiha.
ʻO T. Boone Pickens, ʻo Texas oil billionaire, ka mea i manaʻo e pau ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai aila i ka makahiki i hala, ua hoʻohuli ʻo ia. Ke hoʻopukapuka nei ʻo BP Capital Management, Pickens' energy-oriented hedge fund, ma muli o kona manaʻoʻiʻo e piʻi koke nā kumukūʻai i $125 i ka barela, a laila neʻe ma mua o $150.
I kēia pule, ua haʻi ke poʻo o OPEC, ke Kuhina aila ʻo Algeria Chakib Khelil, i ka poʻe nūhou e piʻi ana ka aila i $200 i ka barela a ʻaʻohe mea e hiki i ka cartel ke hana e pani ai.
Ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia ʻo nā pūʻali ʻē aʻe ma mua o ka nui o ka aila ʻaila i hoʻokuʻu ʻia mai ka ʻāina ke hoʻoulu nei i nā kumukūʻai.
Ua pani ʻia nā kumukūʻai aila ma $113.46 i ka barela i ka Pōʻakolu ma hope o ka piʻi ʻana ma lalo o $ 120 Pōʻakahi.
ʻOiai inā e hāʻule lākou i kahi 30% hiki ʻole, e mau ana nā kumukūʻai maʻamau i ka mōʻaukala kiʻekiʻe. A he liʻiliʻi ka manawa e hāʻule nui ai lākou, no ka koi mau ʻana mai Kina, India a me nā ʻoihana ulu wikiwiki.
No nā makahiki he mau makahiki, "ʻO ka huakaʻi mokulele kekahi o nā mea kūʻai maikaʻi loa no nā mea kūʻai aku o ʻAmelika," wahi a Tom Horton, ka luna kālā nui o American Airlines.
"Aia mākou i kahi honua kahi e hōʻike ai nā mokulele i ke kumukūʻai o ka huahana."
usatoday.com
