Noho i nā hale hoʻomaha ma Grand Bahama: He aha ka mea aʻe no ka Hurricane Dorian?

ʻO Grand Bahama kahi paradaiso mākaʻikaʻi ka mokupuni ʻākau loa o ka pae ʻāina ʻo Bahamas ma ka Moana ʻAkelanika. ʻIke ʻia ia no kona mau kahakai, nā coves a me nā wahi kai mangrove i hoʻopili ʻia, a me nā wahi kai piha a me nā papa kolepa. ʻO Freeport, ke kūlanakauhale nui loa, kahi kokoke i nā kahakai e like me Xanadu. I kēia manawa, ke huli nei kēia paradaiso i kahi weliweli nui no nā poʻe mākaʻikaʻi a me nā limahana e noho ana i nā hōkele a me nā hōkele. Kauoha ʻia nā kānaka āpau e noho i ka puʻuhonua, no ka Pōʻakahi paha. ʻAʻole hiki i nā mākaʻi a me nā hoʻopakele ke hana i ka wā o nā ola weliweli i kēia manawa a me 165 + mph makani i hoʻokumu ʻia e ka makani pāhili ʻo Dorian. Pili paha ka ʻino ma luna o ka mokupuni ʻo Grand Bahama e neʻe wale ana i 1 mph i hoʻokahi hola i kēia manawa.

Hoʻopuka ka National Hurricane Center i kēia loiloi ma ka 5 o ke kakahiaka Pōʻakahi.

Ke hoʻomau nei ke kiʻi Satelite e hōʻike ʻo Dorian i kahi maka i wehewehe pono ʻia i loko o nā poʻo anu anuanu. Ua hoʻonui ʻia ke anawaena o ka maka ma kahi o 20 n mi, a me nā ʻike radar, keu hoʻi mai ka Bahamas Department of Meteorology radar, e hōʻike ana aia he mau eyewall concentric. Ke hoʻomau nei ka makani pāhili e hōʻike i ka kahe nui o luna-tropospheric. Ua hoʻemi ʻia ka manaʻo nui mua i ka 145 kt, aia ia ma waena o nā wana Hurricane Hunter ma mua a me nā wānana ikaika ukali mai TAFB a me SAB. Kūlike kēia hoʻohaʻahaʻa o ka ikaika me ka hoʻomohala ʻana i kahi eyewall concentric. I loko o kekahi mau lā e hiki mai ana, pono ʻo Dorian e hālāwai me ka hoʻonui ʻana o ka ʻoki, a ʻo ka hopena paha ka nāwaliwali. Eia naʻe, ke manaʻo ʻia nei e noho ka ʻōnaehana i makani ʻinoʻino weliweli no kekahi mau lā e hiki mai ana. Aia ka wānana o ka mana kūhelu ma waena o ka alakaʻi statistic-dynamical a me ka consensus multi-model i hoʻoponopono ʻia.

Ua nāwaliwali nā ʻauamo, a ua aneane kū ʻo Dorian ma kahi hikina o ka mokupuni ʻo Grand Bahama, me kahi neʻe mua o 270/1 kt. Ua hiolo ka mid-tropospheric kiʻekiʻe i ka ʻākau o ka makani pāhau e hoʻokele ana iā Dorian komohana. Hōʻike nā hiʻohiʻona honua, i loko o kekahi mau lā, e ulu ana kahi nāwaliwali ma ka pali ma kahi o 75W-80W. ʻO kēia paha ka mea e neʻe ai ʻo Dorian i ke komohana ʻākau i ke kūkulu ʻākau a i loko o kēia nāwaliwali. Ma hope i ka manawa wānana, manaʻo ʻia e wikiwiki ka ʻōnaehana ma ka ʻākau hikina ma ka ʻaoʻao hema o kahi palahalaha waena waena. ʻO ka wanana ala kūhelu kahi kokoke loa i ka mea ma mua a i ka consensus model dynamical i hoʻoponopono ʻia, HCCA. ʻOiai ʻaʻole hōʻike ka wānana luna i ka pae ʻana o Dorian ma kahakai hikina o Florida, hiki nō ke haʻalele i ka makani ʻino mai kēia wanana, a neʻe kokoke loa a i ʻole ke kapakai.

2. ʻO ka lōʻihi o ka manawa o ka makani weliweli a me ka ʻino e kū mau ana ma ka mokupuni ʻo Grand Bahama ma o kēia lā a me kēia pō. ʻO kēlā me kēia, pono e noho i kahi hūnā a ʻaʻole e maka i ka maka.
3. ʻO nā ʻino e hoʻoweliweli ʻino ana i ke ola a me nā makani ʻinoʻino weliweli e manaʻo ʻia ma nā ʻāpana o ke kapakai hikina o Florida a waena o ka pule, a e holo ana nā ʻino a me nā ʻōlelo hōʻeuʻeu. ʻO kahi kekeʻe wale i ka hema o ka wanana kūlana e lawe mai i ke kumu o Dorian kokoke a i ʻole ma kahakai hikina o Florida. E hoʻolohe ka poʻe kamaʻāina i ka ʻōlelo aʻo a nā luna kūloko kūloko.
4. Ke piʻi nei ka likelika o ka makani ikaika a me ka ʻinoʻino weliweli ma nā kahakai o Georgia, South Carolina, a me North Carolina ma hope o kēia pule. Pono nā kamaʻāina ma kēia mau wahi e kiaʻi i ka holomua o Dorian a hoʻolohe i nā ʻōlelo aʻo a nā luna kūloko kūloko.
5. ʻO ka ua nui, hiki ke hana i nā wai hālana hoʻoweliweli e hoʻōla ʻia, e manaʻo ʻia ma nā ʻāpana ʻākau o nā Bahama a me nā ʻāpana kahakai o ka Hikina Hema a me nā Mid-Atlantika haʻahaʻa o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa i ka Pōʻalima.