Ke hoʻohālikelike ʻia i ka ʻāpana hoʻokipa o nā ʻāina i kūkulu ʻia, ʻike ʻia ke holo nei ka ʻoihana hōkele o ka Middle East North Africa (MENA) i ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana a hiki ke nānā i mua i ka ulu hou ʻana i loko o ʻelua makahiki.
Ke noʻonoʻo nei i ka manaʻo maikaʻi, ʻo ka hui hui hui ʻo Arabian Hotel Investment Conference (AHIC) ʻo Jonathan Worsley i ʻōlelo ʻoiai ʻaʻole e haʻalele i nā pilikia o ke kūlana o kēia manawa o ka hāʻule ʻana o ka loaʻa kālā a me ka noho ʻana, ua nānā mua nā luna i ka manawa hou i ka wā e hoʻi hou ai ka hilinaʻi o ka mea kūʻai a me nā mea hoʻopukapuka i nā mahina 18 e hiki mai ana. .
"E mau ana ka Middle East i wahi nui no ka hoʻomohala ʻana i ka hōkele e hoʻomau ʻia ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā kūlanakauhale e like me Dubai a e hoʻohālikelike ʻia i nā wahi e pili ana e like me Abu Dhabi a me Doha. ʻO ka ʻōlelo hope ʻoiai ʻoiai he paʻakikī ka nānā ʻana i ka wā pōkole, ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe o nā manaʻolana mai ka ʻāina, "wahi a Worsley.
"Ke manaʻoʻiʻo nei mākou he makahiki hoʻoponopono ʻo 2009, ʻo 2010 ka makahiki hoʻokūpaʻa a ʻo 2011 ka makahiki hoʻōla. ʻO ka pōmaikaʻi koʻikoʻi e nalowale nā mea pāʻani nāwaliwali, "wahi a Ian Ohan, ka luna hoʻomalu a me ke poʻo o nā kālepa hoʻopukapuka ma Jones Lang LaSalle.
Ma ka emi ʻana o nā helu mākaʻikaʻi honua, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o MENA, ʻo ia kekahi o nā wahi liʻiliʻi e ʻike i ka piʻi mau ʻana o ka hōʻea ʻana i ka Q1 2009.
ʻO Kauka Henry Azzam, Luna Nui, Middle East a me North Africa, Deutsche Bank i ʻōlelo ʻaʻole ʻo ka Middle East i ka epicenter o ka pilikia a ua hoʻohuli ʻia e nā mea e hana nei ma kahi ʻē aʻe. Ua hoʻohui ʻo ia ua uku ʻia nā kulekele kālā aupuni ikaika a hoʻonui i ka ʻāina no nā kumu e like me ka hāʻule ʻana o ka loaʻa kālā a me ka nele o ka hilinaʻi i ka ʻoihana pilikino: "Ua hopena kēia i ka ulu maikaʻi no nā ʻoihana e like me UAE, Bahrain a me Oman aʻo Qatar. ke manaʻo nei ʻo ia i ka ulu ʻana o nā helu pālua," i ʻōlelo ai ʻo ia.
ʻO ka hoʻoikaika ʻana o ke aupuni a me nā mākaʻi e hoʻolaha i nā ʻoihana mākaʻikaʻi kūloko i mea nui i ka mālama ʻana i ke kaʻa komo. No ka laʻana, ua hoʻokumu ʻo Dubai i nā hoʻolaha hoʻolaha hou, hoʻemi i nā kumukūʻai ma ka mokulele mokulele Emirates Airline a me ke kaomi aupuni e hōʻemi i nā kumukūʻai hōkele e hoʻomaikaʻi i ka hoʻokūkū honua o ka mākeke. Ua ʻike pū nā luna i ka pono e hoʻomaikaʻi i ke kiʻekiʻe o ka hoʻokele waiwai a me ka ʻike o ka mākeke waiwai, e like me ka hōʻike a Naseba Series Investment.
E like me ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻoihana a me ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai, ʻike ʻia nā mākeke hōkele ma nā kūlanakauhale nui a puni ka Middle East e hāʻawi ana i nā hoʻihoʻi maikaʻi, e like me ka Jones Lang LaSalle's April Investor Sentiment Survey, wahi a ka Luna Nui o ka honua, ʻo Arthur de Haast: "ʻO ka ʻike o ka poʻe i noiʻi ʻia. ʻO nā kūlanakauhale e like me Doha, Abu Dhabi a me Riyadh e ola hou mai ka hāʻule o kēia manawa i loko o hoʻokahi makahiki, me Dubai e hoʻi mai i loko o ʻelua mau makahiki - ʻoiai ʻo ka UAE ka mākeke maikaʻi loa no nā mea hoʻopukapuka, "i ʻōlelo ʻo ia, me ka hoʻohui ʻana i ka emi ʻana o ka waiwai. Ua manaʻo ʻia e hoʻihoʻi hou nā waiwai ma nā wahi a pau i ka makahiki 2011.
I ka nānā ʻana i ka ʻāina maikaʻi loa i kēia manawa, ʻōlelo ʻo Worsely he wahi koʻikoʻi ʻo Saudi Arabia no nā ʻano hana hokele a pau - mai nā hōkele a me nā hōkele hoʻoilina i nā agro-projects a me nā waiwai haʻahaʻa.
ʻO kekahi huahana ʻē aʻe o ka pilikia o ka hoʻokele honua ʻo ia ka hoʻopanee ʻana i nā papahana hōkele he nui i ka hoʻokomo ʻana i nā lumi hou i ka mākeke kūloko a kōkua i ka hoʻololi ʻana i nā loli ma waena o ka lako a me ka noi: e koi i ka mākeke waena a me nā waiwai lawelawe i kaupalena ʻia, "hoʻohui ʻia ʻo de Haast.
Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Ohan, "Ma kahi o 50 pākēneka o nā hale noho a me nā ʻoihana ʻoihana i hoʻonohonoho ʻia no ka hoʻopau ʻana i ka makahiki 2009 a hiki i 2012 ua kāpae ʻia a paʻa paha."
ʻO ka hoʻopau ʻana i kēia mau papahana e hele pū me ka nui o nā mea hana expatriate mai Dubai. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Ohan, "E ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi ma mua o ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana," me ka hoʻohui ʻana e kū hou ana nā mea hoʻomohala i nā pilikia hou aʻe, ʻoiai ʻo nā mea hoʻopukapuka ma nā papahana ʻē aʻe ma muli o ka hōʻole ʻana i kā lākou hōʻaiʻē, a hopohopo paha i ka hopena o nā hemahema i ka hoʻopau ʻana. Ua hoʻohui ʻo ia, "ʻO ka poʻe i kūʻai aku ma waho o ka hoʻolālā i nā mahina he 18 i hala aku nei i kūʻai ʻia i nā kumukūʻai i hoʻonui ʻia. Ke alo nei i ka emi ʻana o ka waiwai waiwai ma mua o ka pau ʻana, e noʻonoʻo ka poʻe he nui i ka ʻoki ʻana i kā lākou poho a me ka hōʻole ʻole - ʻo ia ka mea e hoʻonui ai i ka makaʻu kumu o ka hopena o nā hewa i nā papahana e hana nei no nā mea hoʻopukapuka i koe.
ʻOiai ua ʻike ʻia ka hiki ʻole o ka wā e hiki mai ana, inā lohi, ua hāʻawi nā hana hōkele i kēia manawa i kumu no ka manaʻolana, e like me Marvin Rust, ka hoa hoʻokele honua ʻo Hospitality no Deloitte. "Ke manaʻo ʻia nei ʻo ka Middle East ka mākeke hana kiʻekiʻe ma ka honua holoʻokoʻa i ka makahiki 2009, ʻoiai ʻo ka ulu ʻana o nā helu pālua i ʻike ʻia i nā makahiki i hala e lohi i kahi o ʻelua pakeneka," i ʻōlelo ai ʻo ia, "ke alakaʻi nei ʻo Dubai i ka papa honua no ka revPAR (loaʻa ma kēlā me kēia loaʻa. lumi) ma mua o US $200, ʻoiai ua emi kēia helu he 12.9 pākēneka i ka hapaha mua o 2009.
Ma ka ʻāina, ua kuhikuhi ʻo ia, ʻoiai ke emi nei nā kumukūʻai ma Dubai a me ʻAigupita, ua hoʻomau nā kūlanakauhale ʻē aʻe e like me Jeddah, Beirut a me Abu Dhabi.
Hōʻike lohi ʻia nā hōʻailona o ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana i ka MENA. Wahi a Jones Lang LaSalle i ka hopena o ka makahiki i hala, ʻaʻole i hoʻokō ʻia kekahi o nā kūlana kūpono no ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana. I ka Q1 2009, ua holomua kekahi me ka 'ike 'ana i nā 'ōpu'u 'ōma'oma'o o ka ho'ōla hou 'ana ma luna o ka hapalua o nā koi 17 no ka ho'iho'i 'ana i kākau 'ia e ka hui.
ʻAʻole i like ka hopena o nā mea hoʻopukapuka a i ʻole nā mākeke ma MENA e ka pilikia, ka nele o ka wai a me nā manawa kūpono ʻole i loaʻa i kēia manawa no ka mea hoʻopukapuka kālā e loaʻa i nā waiwai maikaʻi ma ke kumu kūʻai kūpono. No kēia hopena, hoʻopaʻa ʻia nā mea hoʻokele hōkele e like me Tag i nā ʻāina ʻo Gulf no nā hoʻomohala nui. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo Raymond Bickson, ka luna hoʻomalu / CEO Taj Hotels ua kūpaʻa ka hui i kāna hoʻomohala ʻana i ka pipeline ma ka ʻāina. "E wehe mākou ma Palm Jumeirah i ka makahiki aʻe e like me koʻu manaʻo he mea nui ka noho ʻana ma Dubai e like me nā kūlanakauhale e like me New York - a ʻo nā hanana ʻē aʻe e pili ana i ʻelua mau hōkele ma Abu Dhabi, hoʻokahi ma Ras Al Khaimah, ʻelua mau waiwai ma Doha. me kahi kahua kolepa a me nā papahana ma Al Ain a me Oman.
ʻO nā hui ʻē aʻe e hana ana i ka ʻāina ʻo IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) nona nā waiwai 37 i lalo o ka hoʻomohala ʻana, kahi piʻi o 50 pākēneka ma luna o kāna kōpili o kēia manawa o 72; a me Rotana, me 12 mau hokele e wehe ana i keia makahiki a he 30 hou aku e kukuluia ana.
He 20 mau hōkele ʻo Starwood i ka pipeline me nā hōkele ʻehā ma Dubai a me Dhahran, kahi hale hoʻokipa Luxury Collection ma Ajman a me ka hoʻomaka ʻana o kāna hōʻailona aloft hou ma Abu Dhabi (Weheweka wehe) a ukali ʻia e Riyadh e hōʻike ana i kahi mākeke e huli ana i ke kihi i ka wā ʻaʻohe kanaka. i kekahi.
He aha e lawe ʻia mai kēia ʻatikala:
- Ohan said, “It's going to get worse before it gets better,” adding that developers were likely to face further difficulties, as investors in off-plan projects because of defaulting on their loans, or worried by the impact of defaults on the completion.
- He added that strong and expansionary government fiscal policies in the region have compensated for factors such as falling oil revenues and a lack of confidence in the private sector.
- Reflecting cautious optimism, Arabian Hotel Investment Conference (AHIC) co-organizer Jonathan Worsley said while not ignoring the challenges of the current situation of falling revenues and occupancies, executives looked forward to a renewed momentum as consumer and investor confidence recover over the next 18 months.
