Kūpono e piʻi piʻi nā kumukūʻai huakaʻi i ka makahiki 2019, me nā hōkele e piʻi ana ma 3.7%, a me nā lele 2.6%, e hoʻoulu ʻia e ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻokele waiwai a me ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumukūʻai aila, e like me ka lima o ka makahiki Global Travel Forecast, paʻi ʻia i kēia lā.

"ʻOiai ka hapanui o nā mākeke nui e kū nei i ke ala kūpono, aia mau nā pōʻino o lalo no ka hoʻokele waiwai o ka honua ma muli o ka piʻi ʻana o nā kulekele protectionist, ka makaʻu o ka hoʻoulu ʻana i nā kaua kalepa a me ka maopopo ʻole o Brexit," i ʻōlelo ʻia ʻo Michael W. McCormick, ka luna hoʻomalu GBTA a me COO. . "Hāʻawi kēia wānana i nā mea kūʻai huakaʻi me ka ʻike ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka mākeke ākea a me nā mea kalaiwa kumu kūʻai nui e hōʻike ana i ke kī i ke kūkulu ʻana i nā polokalamu huakaʻi kūleʻa e nānā ana a me ka pane ʻana i kahi ʻāina honua e loli mau ana."

"Kuhi ʻia nā kumukūʻai ma nā mākeke ākea he nui e like me ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka hoʻonui kālā," wahi a Kurt Ekert, Pelekikena a me CEO, ʻo Carlson Wagonlit Travel. "ʻIke ʻia ka hōʻike i nā kumu a hoʻokomo i kahi nānā o nā mea a mākou e manaʻo ai e ʻike ma nā mākeke kī nui a puni ka honua. Hāʻawi ʻia kekahi i nā ʻōlelo kikoʻī, e hāʻawi ana i nā pōkā luna huakaʻi no kā lākou kūkākūkā e hiki mai ana. ”

Hoʻokuʻu ʻia i kēia lā e ka Global Travel Travel Association, ka leo o ka ʻoihana huakaʻi ʻoihana honua, a ʻo CWT, ka hui hoʻokele huakaʻi o ka honua, hōʻike pū ka wānana 2019 i nā ʻano a me nā hoʻolālā e hoʻohālikelike i ka ʻoihana huakaʻi ʻoihana.

"ʻO ka wā e hiki mai ana o ka huakaʻi ʻoihana hiki ke hōʻuluʻulu ʻia e like me ka wikiwiki ʻana o ka pilikino - me nā ʻenehana loea, AI, ke aʻo ʻana i ka mīkini a me nā aniani wānana e pāʻani ana i kā lākou ʻāpana," wahi a Ekert. "Hoʻopili ʻia ka kūleʻa i ka ʻenehana, me ka crunching ʻikepili sophisticated ma ka puʻuwai o ia."

Nā wānana ʻea 2019

E hoʻolālā ʻia ka ʻāpana mokulele e ka hoʻolauna ʻana o nā mokulele ultra-long-haul a me ka hoʻokūkū hoʻonui ʻana mai nā mea hoʻolimalima haʻahaʻa, ʻaʻole e hoʻonui wale ana akā e hakakā ana hoʻi no nā ala hele lōʻihi - a na ka ʻenekini e hoʻokau iā NDC.

E lilo paha ke kumukūʻai o ke kahawai ma muli o ka piʻina o nā kumukūʻai aila, ka hoʻokūkū hoʻokūkū mai ka loaʻa ʻole o nā pailaka, nā kaua kalepa kūpono, a me ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka mahele uku e hoʻomaikaʻi ai i ka loaʻa.

• Ke manaʻo nei ʻo ʻAsia Pākīpika e ʻike i kahi 3.2% piʻi i ka uku o 2019. Mau ke kiʻekiʻe o ka noi Kina a i ka makahiki 2020 e manaʻo ʻia ana e lilo ka ʻāina i mākeke huakaʻi nui loa o ka honua. I ka 2019 ʻike ʻia nā lele o ka ʻāina e piʻi ana i 3.9%. Akā ʻaʻole e noho kaʻawale ʻo Kina. ʻO ka hapa nui o nā ʻāina i ka ʻāina e ʻike i ka piʻi ʻana o ke kumu kūʻai, keu hoʻi i nā mākeke e like me New Zealand (7.5%) a me India (7.3%). ʻO ka hope ka mea e lilo i ka makeke mokulele mokulele nui loa o ka honua e 2025, me nā kahua mokulele e holo nei ma mua o ka hiki. ʻO Iapana wale nō ka mea i koe i kēia ʻāpana booming. E emi paha nā kumukūʻai ma laila i ka 3.9% ma muli o ka hiki o ka ʻāina i ka mākaukau no ka Pāʻani ʻAlani ma 2020.

• Ma waena o ʻEulopa, Waena Hikina & ʻApelika, ke lana nei ka ea e hoʻomau i ka ulu ʻana ma ʻEulopa Komohana, me nā kumukūʻai e piʻi nei 4.8%. E haʻi nui ʻia ka hoʻonui ʻia ma Nolewai (11.5%), ukali ʻia e Kelemania (7.3%), Palani (6.9%) a me Sepania (6.7%). ʻO ka Hikina ʻEulopa a me ka Hikina Waena & ʻApelika mau ʻāina, ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, e ʻike i ka emi ʻana o 2.3% a me 2%.

• E hāʻule ana nā kumukūʻai ma waena o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa ma 2% i ka makahiki 2019. Eia nō naʻe, e ʻike iki ana ʻo México a me Colombia i ka piʻi ʻana he 0.1% a me 1.2% pākahi - ʻoiai e ʻike ʻo Chile i ka piʻi ʻana o 7.5%.

• E ʻike ʻo ʻAmelike ʻĀkau i ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai ma kahi 1.8% haʻahaʻa, e like me kā mākou mau wanana. I ka US, ke hoʻololi hou nei nā mokulele e hōʻike i nā wahi ʻoi aku o ka noi, e pili ana i ka loli ʻana o nā pilina kalepa me nā ʻaoʻao nui a me nā ʻenemi o US. Manaʻo ʻia ka mākeke mokulele US e ʻike i ka hiki ke hoʻoliʻiliʻi ma muli o ka hoʻonui ʻia ʻana o ka uku o ka uku, me ka hoʻokele waiwai nui a me ka hoʻokele waiwai maʻamau e hoʻemi ana i nā noho i loaʻa, ʻoiai ke hāpai nei nā mea lawe i ka palena ʻoi loa.

Hōʻike hōkele 2019

Hoʻokele ʻia ka ʻike hōkele no ka makahiki 2019 e ka piʻi nui ʻana o ka huakaʻi lewa, a e hoʻonui ai ka makemake no nā lumi. E pāʻani ana ka ʻenehana i kahi ʻāpana nui. Ke hoʻolauna nei nā hōkele i nā hanana hou e hoʻopilikino i ka ʻike malihini. Ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻē aʻe, ka hoʻonui ʻia ʻana o ke komo ʻana o ke kelepona paʻalima, ke koi aku nei i nā luna huakaʻi e hāʻawi aku i kā lākou mau huakaʻi huakaʻi, kahi e lawelawe ai no ka ʻae ʻana i ka mana kūloko o ka politika.

Hoʻohui hou ʻia - a me nā hōkele kiʻekiʻe e hoʻokūkū ana i nā mea waena ma muli o ka ulu ʻana o ka makemake no ka hale hoʻokipa ma waena o nā huakaʻi ʻōpio - e lilo pū kekahi i ka papahana.

• Ma Asia Pākīpika, piʻi paha nā kumukūʻai o ka hōkele 5.1% - me kahi nui nui e like me ka manaʻo e hāʻule nā kumukūʻai Iapana 3.2%, akā e hoʻonui ʻia ʻo New Zealand 11.8%. Ma Australia, e manaʻo ʻia ʻo 2019 a me 2020 e lawe i ka nui o nā lumi hou e lilo ana, me ka hoʻonui ʻana o 3.4% o ka nui o ka lako i kēlā me kēia makahiki. I Indonesia, ke hoʻomaka nei ʻo Swiss-Belhotel International i ka hoʻonui ʻana o kāna inoa budget, Zest Hotels, me nā hoʻolālā e hoʻonui i kāna kōpena o nā waiwai i loko o ʻekolu mau makahiki. Ke ʻapo nei ʻo Singapore i ka ʻenehana a ke piʻi nei nā hōkele akamai. I Thailand, ke holo nei ka manaʻo maikaʻi ma hope o kekahi manawa o ka haunaele politika.

• Ke piʻi nei ke aniani o nā kumukūʻai o ka ea, nā helu hōkele ma waena o ʻEulopa, Middle East a me ʻApelika e piʻi aʻe ma Europe Komohana 5.6%, ʻoiai e emi ana ka 1.9% ma ʻEulopa Hikina a me 1.5% ma ka Hikina Waena & ʻApelika. E alakaʻi hou ʻo Norewai me ka piʻi ʻana o 11.8%, a ukali ʻia e Sepania (8.5%) –e manaʻo ʻia ana e pani i ka US ma ke ʻano he wahi kaulana ʻelua o ka honua, ʻo Pinilana (7.1%) a me Palani a me Kelemania (6.8%).

• Ma waena o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, e hāʻule ana nā kumukūʻai hōkele ma 1.3%, me ka hōʻole ʻana ma ʻAtenekia (ma lalo o 3.5%), Venezuela (ma lalo o 3.4%), Brazil (ma lalo o 1.9%) a me Colombia (ma lalo o 0.7%). Eia nō naʻe, manaʻo ʻia ʻo Chile, Peru a me Mexico e ʻike 6.4%, 2.1%, a me 0.6% piʻi aʻe.

• Ma ʻAmelika Hema e piʻi aʻe nā kumukūʻai o 2.1% - 5% ma Kanada a me 2.7% ma ka US.

ʻO nā wānana halihali ʻāina 2019

I kēia makahiki aʻe, e piʻi aʻe ana ke kumu kūʻai halihali ʻāina wale nō ma 0.6% wale nō ma ʻAkau ʻAmelika, ʻoiai e pālahalaha nā kumukūʻai i nā koena o nā wahi. Eia nō naʻe, i ka hā o ka hapahā o 2019, e ʻike mākou i kahi hana lōkahi e nā ʻoihana hoʻolimalima e hoʻonui i nā kumukūʻai. Ma ʻAmelika Hema, ʻo 6% ka hoʻonui i manaʻo ʻia no nā ʻoihana.

E ʻike pū ana ʻo 2019 i ka makemake nui e ulu nei ma waena o nā huakaʻi no ka holo-hailing ʻana ʻoiai ʻo ka hoihoi i nā kaʻa wikiwiki e mae wale ana, no ka nui o nā kumukūʻai o ka pūnaewele a me nā ʻōnaehana hoʻoili ʻenehana haʻahaʻa.

E ala ana ka hoʻoneʻe kelepona. Ma ke koi, kaʻana like, uila, a me nā kaʻa e hoʻopili ʻia e lilo i mea kaulana. Loaʻa i ka ʻenehana kaʻa i hiki ke hoʻololi i ka ʻoihana kaʻa holoʻokoʻa.

• Ma Asia Pacific mau helu e noho pālahalaha holoʻokoʻa me ka hoʻonui ʻana o nā mākeke e like me Nūhōlani (4Oleg,%), India (2.7%) a me Australia (2.4%). I Kina, ke hoʻokau nei nā pilikua ʻo Didi Chuxing i ka hoʻokele kū kaʻawale. I kēia makahiki, ua kūʻai aku ʻo Uber i kāna ʻoihana Hema Hikina Hema i Grab-based Grab a me Indonesia Go-Jek e hoʻonui nei i Vietnam, Thailand, Philippines a me Singapore.

• Kuhi ʻia nā kumukūʻai ma ʻEulopa, Waena Hikina & ʻApelika e noho pālahalaha i ka nui. Eia nō naʻe, ʻo nā ʻāina e like me Finilana, Palani, Kelemania, ʻItalia a me Sepania e ʻike i ka piʻi ʻana ma mua o 4%, ʻoiai e ulu ana nā helu ʻo Denmark a me UK 3% a me 2%. E kū ana ʻo Norewai i ke kūlana pou me ka hoʻonui 10%. Ma ka haʻahaʻa, e hāʻule nui ana nā kumukūʻai ma Suedena (13.9% i lalo) a ma Pelekia (0.9% lalo).

• E noho pālahalaha ʻia nā kumukūʻai ma ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, me ka hōʻemi ikaika ʻana ma Argentina (9.7% iho) a me Brazil (5.4% iho) a me ka mea i ʻoi aku ka haʻahaʻa i Mexico (0.3%). E piʻi aʻe nā kumukūʻai ʻo Chile ma 3.1%.

• Ma ʻAmelika ʻĀkau, ʻike ʻia ʻo Kanada e hoʻonui i ka 3.6% ma ka 2019, akā e piʻi wale ana ka māhele āpau i 0.6%. Ma ka US, ʻo Audcar, nona ka lawelawe kaʻa hoʻolimalima kaʻa hoʻohana ʻia, ʻo Silvercar, ke hoʻomau nei i kāna hoʻonui ikaika. Hāʻawi ka ʻoihana i ka hoʻolimalima kaʻa kaʻa mua me ka ʻole o nā laina a me nā palapala.