E piʻi ka haʻalele honua i 68% o nā pae pre-COVID-19 ma ka honua holoʻokoʻa i 2022 a ke manaʻo ʻia nei e hoʻomaikaʻi i 82% i 2023 a me 97% i 2024, ma mua o ka hoʻihoʻi piha ʻana i ka makahiki 2025 ma 101% o nā pae 2019, me kahi kuhi. 1.5 biliona haʻalele honua.
Eia nō naʻe, ʻaʻole linear ka trajectory no ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana i nā haʻalele honua ma nā wahi a i ʻole nā ʻāina.
Ua hōʻike ka huakaʻi huakaʻi mai ʻAmelika ʻAmelika i ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka makahiki 2021 i ka piʻi ʻana o ka haʻalele ʻana o ka honua e 15% i kēlā me kēia makahiki. ʻO ka USA ala aʻe e lilo i mākeke huakaʻi huakaʻi nui loa ma ka honua ma 2021. I ka makahiki 2022, manaʻo ʻia ka haʻalele ʻana i waho mai ʻAmelika ʻĀkau e hiki i 69% o nā pae 2019, ma mua o ka hoʻihoʻi piha ʻana ma 2024, ma 102% o nā pae 2019, ma mua o nā wahi ʻē aʻe.
ʻO ka haʻalele ʻana o ka honua mai nā ʻāina ʻEulopa e manaʻo ʻia e hiki i ka 69% o nā helu 2019 ma 2022. Ke kūkulu hou ʻia ka hilinaʻi huakaʻi, manaʻo ʻia ka mākeke intra-European e pōmaikaʻi, e alakaʻi ʻia e nā makemake no ka huakaʻi pōkole.
Eia nō naʻe, pono e hakakā ka hoʻihoʻi huakaʻi me ka hoʻonui ʻana, ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai o ke ola, a me ke kaua ma Ukraine. Ma ka makahiki 2025, ua manaʻo ʻia nā haʻalele honua he 98% o nā pae 2019. Ma ka ʻāina, ʻaʻole i pālahalaha ke kaua ma waho o nā palena ʻo Ukrainian. Eia nō naʻe, ʻo Rūsia ka ʻelima o ka mākeke huakaʻi hele i waho ma 2019, ʻoiai ʻo Ukraine ka ʻumikūmālua. Ke hele nei i mua, ʻo ka palena o ka huakaʻi i waho mai kēia mau ʻāina e keʻakeʻa i ka hoʻihoʻi holoʻokoʻa holoʻokoʻa o ʻEulopa.
Manaʻo ʻia ʻo Asia-Pākīpika e lohi ma ke ʻano o ka hoʻihoʻi. ʻO ka haʻalele ʻana i waho mai ka ʻāina e hiki wale i ka 67% o nā pae 2019 i 2022, ma muli o ka neʻe ʻana o nā palena huakaʻi, a me ka makemake no nā mea paʻa hou i ka wā o ka COVID-19 outbreak. ʻO ka mākeke huakaʻi hele waho nui loa o ka ʻāina a me ka honua, China ʻaʻole ia e hōʻike i nā hōʻailona o ka hoʻomaha ʻana i kāna mau palena palena koʻikoʻi i ka wā pōkole. I ka makahiki 2021, ʻo ka haʻalele ʻana o ka honua mai Kina he 2% wale nō o nā pae 2019.
ʻOiai ua hoʻonohonoho ʻia ka huakaʻi huakaʻi honua e hoʻihoʻi i nā pae pre-pandemic e 2025, ʻokoʻa paha ke ʻano o ka noi huakaʻi. Mai nā makahiki ʻelua o ka huakaʻi liʻiliʻi loa, ua puka mai kekahi mau loli lōʻihi a me nā ʻano pōkole. Ke ʻimi nei nā mea kūʻai aku i nā ʻike maoli, koi i nā makana huakaʻi pilikino, hoʻohui i ka ʻoihana a me ka huakaʻi leʻaleʻa, a e noʻonoʻo nui i ko lākou hopena kaiapuni.
He lōʻihi ka hele ʻana e hiki ai i kahi kūlana maʻamau. Eia nō naʻe, hiki i ka 2025 hiki ke hoʻihoʻi hou i ke kumu maikaʻi no ka huakaʻi a me ka ʻoihana mākaʻikaʻi e manaʻo maikaʻi no ka wā e hiki mai ana.
He aha e lawe ʻia mai kēia ʻatikala:
- International departures will reach 68% of the pre-COVID-19 levels globally in 2022 and are expected to improve to 82% in 2023 and 97% in 2024, before making a full recovery by 2025 at 101% of 2019 levels, with a projected 1.
- In 2022, outbound departures from North America are projected to reach 69% of 2019 levels, before making a full recovery by 2024, at 102% of 2019 levels, ahead of other regions.
- Outbound departures from the region will only reach 67% of 2019 levels in 2022, owing to the relatively slower removal of travel restrictions, and the propensity for renewed domestic restrictions during COVID-19 outbreaks.
