ʻO Dorian ma ke ala no Grand Bahama, Abacos: nāwaliwali iki no Florida

ʻOiai ʻo ka hapanui o ka Caribbean ʻaʻole i kahi makaʻu, aia nā Bahamas a me ka mokuʻāina ʻo Florida ʻo Florida e makaʻala loa. Noho ʻo Hurricane Dorian i kahi ʻino hōʻino ma ka mahele 4. Ua hoʻopuka ka National Hurricane Center i ka loiloi kakahiaka kakahiaka Pōʻaono ma Hurricane Dorian. ma 5 AM EST ma ke ala e hele ai i Bahamas a me Florida.

ʻO ka hapa nui o nā mākaʻikaʻi i haʻalele ʻia mai nā mokupuni i hoʻopilikia ʻia o Bahamas.

Ke hoʻomau nei ka hōʻike a Dorian e nānā i nā kiʻi satelite i kēia kakahiaka, me kahi ʻāpana like o ke anuanu ke anu e pili ana i ka maka he 10-15 n mi ākea. ʻAʻole he ʻikepili mokulele hou mai ka ʻino mai ka wā aʻoaʻo hope loa. Eia nō naʻe, ua loli iki ka helehelena ukali mai ka hope loa o ka mokulele i ka ʻino, a ua loli iki nā kuhi a me nā kumuhana o ka ukali i nā hola i hala. Ma muli o kēia, hoʻomau ka ikaika mua i 120 kt.

ʻO ka noi mua i kēia manawa 290/10. ʻO ke kualapa haʻahaʻa a waena o ka ʻaoʻao subtropical ma ka ʻaoʻao ʻākau o ka makani pāholo e hoʻokele iā ia i ke komohana-komohana a i ke komohana no 48 mau makahiki e hiki mai ana, me ka wikiwiki i mua e lohi loa i ka hele ʻana o ke kikowaena kokoke a ma luna paha o nā Abacos Bahama Nui. Hoʻopili paʻa ʻia ke alakaʻi o ke ala no kēia ʻāpana o ke ala, a aia ke ala wānana hou kokoke i ka ECMWF, UKMET, a me HCCA i hoʻoponopono ai i nā hiʻohiʻona ʻelike. E lilo ka loiloi ala i mea pilikia ma hope o 48 h. ʻO nā hiʻohiʻona honua a ka NHC e hoʻohana maʻamau ai, a me ka HWRF āpana a me ka HMON, nā hoʻohālikelike, ua hoʻololi hou i ka hikina a hiki i kahi a kekahi o lākou i wānana ai ʻo Dorian e pae i Florida. Eia naʻe, ʻo ka

Ke lawe nei ʻo UKMET ensemble i ka ʻino ma luna o ka penikala o Florida, e like me nā lālā o ka hui ʻo GFS a me ECMWF. E neʻe ʻia ka wana ala hou no 72-120 h i ka hikina e noho hikina o ke kapakai o Florida, a aia ia ma waena o ka wānana kahiko a me nā ʻano ʻae like. Pono paha nā hoʻoponopono hou aʻe i ke ala wānana ma hope i kēia lā inā hoʻomau ʻia nā ʻano hoʻohālikelike o kēia manawa. Pono e hoʻomaopopo ʻia ʻaʻole ala ka ala wānana hou e kāpae ai ʻo Dorian i ka pae ma kahakai ʻo Florida, no ka mea ʻo nā ʻāpana nui o ke kahakai e waiho nei i ke ala o ka maopopo ʻole. Eia kekahi, hiki i nā hopena koʻikoʻi ke kū i waho ke kikowaena ma waho.

Pono ʻo Dorian e noho i kahi ʻano maikaʻi no nā lā 3-4 e hiki mai ana, a ke kuhikuhi nei ke alakaʻi ikaika e noho ia i makani ʻino ikaika i kēia manawa. Kāhea ka wanana ikaika hou i kahi hoʻoikaika hou aʻe i kēia lā, a laila hōʻike ia i kahi nāwaliwali lohi e ukali i ke ʻano o ke alakaʻi ikaika. I loko o kēia manawa, hiki i nā loli nui loa ke hele mai mai nā wili paʻakikī e wānana i nā eyewall. ʻO ka hopena o ka wā wānana, hoʻonui ʻia ka ʻoki paʻa a me ka pili o ka ʻāina i mea e nāwaliwali ai.

Nā memo nui:

1. ʻO kekahi manawa loihi o ka ʻino e hoʻoweliweli nei i ke ola a me ka makani ʻinoʻino weliweli paha i nā ʻāpana o ke komohana ʻākau o Bahamas, ʻo ia hoʻi ma nā mokupuni ʻo Abaco a me ka mokupuni ʻo Grand Bahama. Hoʻomaopopo kahi ʻōlelo hōʻino no kēia mau wahi, a pono ka poʻe kamaʻāina e hoʻolohe i nā ʻōlelo aʻoaʻo i hāʻawi ʻia e nā luna kūloko kūloko a hoʻopau i kā lākou hoʻomākaukau i ka makani pāhili i kēia lā.
2. Hiki ke hiki i ka ʻino a me ka makani ʻinoʻino weliweli ke hiki ma nā ʻāpana o ke kapakai hikina o Florida e ka wanaʻao a i ka hapa waena o kēia pule aʻe, akā no ka wānana o Dorian e lohi a huli i ke kūkulu ʻākau kokoke i kahakai, ʻo ia pū kekahi. koke e hoʻoholo i ka manawa a ma hea e kū ai ka piʻi kiʻekiʻe loa a me nā makani. Pono nā kamaʻāina e hoʻonohonoho i kā lākou hoʻolālā ʻōpala ma kahi, ʻike inā aia lākou i kahi wahi e haʻalele ai i ka ʻino, a hoʻolohe i nā ʻōlelo aʻo a nā luna kūloko kūloko.
3. Ke piʻi nei ka makaʻu o ka makani ikaika a me ka hoʻoweliweli ʻino i ke ola ma nā kahakai o Georgia a me South Carolina i ka waena o kēia pule aʻe. Pono nā kamaʻāina ma ia mau wahi e kiaʻi i ka holomua o Dorian.
4. ʻO ka ua nui, hiki i nā kahe hālana hoʻoweliweli e manaʻo ʻia ma luna o nā ʻāpana o ka Bahamas a me nā ʻāpana kahakai o ka hema hikina o ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa i kēia hopena pule ma o ka pule aʻe.

KAHI WAIWAI A ME NA MAKINI MAX

INIT 31 / 0900Z 25.8N 72.6W 120 KT 140 MPH

12H 31 / 1800Z 26.1N 74.0W 125 KT 145 MPH

24H 01 / 0600Z 26.5N 75.8W 125 KT 145 MPH

36H 01 / 1800Z 26.7N 77.2W 125 KT 145 MPH

48H 02 / 0600Z 26.9N 78.1W 120 KT 140 MPH

72H 03 / 0600Z 27.5N 79.4W 115 KT 130 MPH

96H 04 / 0600Z 29.5N 80.5W 110 KT 125 MPH

120H 05 / 0600Z 32.0N 80.5W 95 KT 110 MPH