- Me ka mākaʻikaʻi kahi mea nui o ka hoʻokele waiwai o ka honua, koʻikoʻi ka hoʻōla i nā ʻāina āpau.
- I kēia mau lā, ua hōʻike mai ke Kuhina Hoʻokele Dominican i nā ʻike e hōʻike ana i kēia ʻāpana e ola hou nei.
- ʻOiai pololei ka ʻike, hiki i ka unuhi ke waiho i hoʻokahi e nīnau nei i ka hōʻailona o ia ola.
ʻO ka hoʻōla kahi pahuhopu o nā ʻāina āpau, ʻoiai ʻo ka mākaʻikaʻi kahi mea nui o ka hoʻokele waiwai o ka honua, akā ʻo ka poʻe i loaʻa ka huakaʻi he mea nui o ka hoʻokele waiwai.
I nā pule i hala iho nei, Ke Keʻena ʻOihana Hoʻokipa Dominican Ua hōʻike ʻia i ka ʻikepili e hōʻike i ke ola pono a kupaianaha hoʻi o ko Dominican kipa ʻana mai. Pololei ka ʻikepili, akā koi kā lākou unuhi i kahi kālailai e kau i nā kukui hōʻike a me nā aka o kēia hoʻōla, e pili ana i ka ʻikepili honua i hōʻuluʻulu i nā ʻikepili hapa o nā ʻano like ʻole.
No kanalima mau makahiki, ua hoʻopaʻa ʻia kahi hopena i ʻike ʻia i ʻoiaʻiʻo ma mua o hoʻokahi kenekulia i hala, ka Simpson's paradox. E hoʻoholo ʻia paha nā hopena fallaced ke hoʻohui ka helu i nā ʻikepili homogeneous. Me ke komo ʻole ʻana i nā kikoʻī o kēia manaʻo makemakika, ʻike mākou ua ʻae ʻia e hoʻomaopopo i kekahi mau palena o ka wehewehe ʻikepili e ka Dominican Ministry of Tourism, ka ʻikepili, nona ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, mākou e haʻi hou aku ai e hōʻalo i nā kuhi hewa, ʻaʻole e nīnau ʻia.
ʻO ka mea nui o ka hoʻomaopopo ʻana i kēia mau palena ʻaʻole pono e pono i kahi ʻāina kahi, i ka makahiki 2019, ma ke ʻano o ka loaʻa kālā loaʻa, ua hāʻawi ka huakaʻi iā 8.4% i ka GDP, ma kahi o 36.4% o ka lawe aku i ka ukana a me nā lawelawe. Eia kekahi, ʻo ka mākaʻikaʻi, ʻoiai he 13% kūlou e hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 2018, i hāʻawi ʻia ma 2019 a kokoke i 30% o Foreign Direct Investment.
No kēia mau kumu, kahi hōʻoia akahele o ka ʻōlelo i kēlā i ka Dominican Republic, ke waiho nei ka ʻāpana hoʻokipa ma hope o ia ka pilikia i hoʻokumu ʻia e ka maʻi ahulau COVID-19 he mea nui ia no nā kulekele lehulehu o ka ʻāina, a me ke alakaʻi ʻana i nā hoʻoholo microeconomic a nā limahana o ka ʻoihana.
E hoʻomanaʻo kākou i ka ʻikepili nui i hōʻike ʻia e ka Kuhina:
- Hiki ʻole nā kamaʻāina ma ka lewa, i ʻAukake i kēia makahiki, kū 96% o ka poʻe ma 2019, kahi kuʻina i ʻoi aku i ka mea i hana ʻia i ka hapa mua o Kepakemapa.
- Ua hoʻokūpaʻa ʻia kēia ʻano e ka helu mahina o ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana o kēia hōʻailona mai ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana. hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 2019, ke ulu nei, mai 34% i Ianuali-Pepeluali, a i kahi o 50% i Malaki-ʻApelila, a aneane 80% i Mei-Iune a 95% i Iulai-ʻAukake.
- Ke ulu ulu mau nei nā kamaʻāina Dominican no XNUMX mau mahina.
- ka pākēneka o nā mākaʻikaʻi e noho ana i nā hōkele ʻo 73%.
ʻO kēia ka ʻikepili maoli a hoʻopaʻa ʻia. Eia nō naʻe, hoʻomanaʻo mai ʻo Simpson iā mākou e kuhikuhi lākou i nā laʻana e hōʻuluʻulu i nā hui like ʻole a me nā wā like ʻole.
ʻO ke kālailai holoʻokoʻa o ka wā e pololei inā loaʻa ke kūpaʻa i ka hōʻea ʻana i ka pae o ka mahina i ka wā i koho ʻia no ka hoʻohālikelike. ʻAʻole kēia ka hihia, a ʻaʻole kaulike nā mahina o 2019 no ka hoʻohālikelike ʻana me 2021. I kēlā makahiki, pili lima ka poʻe lawelawe mākaʻikaʻi i nā hopena o ka make ʻana o kekahi mau mākaʻikaʻi ma waena o Mei a me Iune, kahi i hoʻohuli i ka ulu ʻana o ka mākaʻikaʻi ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa i hoʻopaʻa ʻia. i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki (ʻaneʻane 10%) i kahi hāʻule 3% i loko o nā mahina he ʻumi (4% inā manaʻo ʻia ka hōʻea ʻana mai o nā haole).
Pono kēia e hoʻokaʻawale i ka nui o kēlā 96% i ʻAukake a i ʻoi aku paha ma mua o 110% i ka pule mua ʻelua o kēia mahina ma muli o ka hoʻihoʻi ʻia ʻana o ka helu (2021 i hōʻea mai) a pehea ka emi o ka denominator (hiki mai o 2019).
Kaupaona kēia hopena inā hoʻi e wāwahi ʻia ka poʻe hōʻea ma muli o kahi mea ʻē aʻe o ka inhomogeneity, e hoʻokaʻawale ana i nā kamaʻāina ʻole Dominican mai nā haole.
Hana mākou pēlā i ka papa aʻe e hōʻike nei i kēia ʻikepili, no nā mahina ʻo Ianuali-ʻAukake, e hoʻomaka ana ma 2013.
Makahiki | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 |
D | 414598 | 433922 | 498684 | 546051 | 538350 | 616429 | 707570 | 345888 | 811156 |
F | 2891870 | 3175033 | 3394208 | 3619147 | 3861774 | 4027620 | 3956466 | 1293650 | 2081389 |
ʻO kēia mau ʻikepili, me ke kāhea ʻole ʻana i ka hoʻohālikelike a ka Kuhina no ka mahina o ʻAukake, hoʻololi hou ʻia, no ka mea ma loko o ʻewalu mau mahina, ʻo ka hōʻea ʻana he 60% o ka poʻe o 2019 a pono mākou e hoʻi i 2013 e ʻike i kahi helu haʻahaʻa. . ʻO kēia hoʻohālikelike hope loa e pili ana i ka ʻikepili holoʻokoʻa, akā inā mākou e kau i ka nānā i nā haole wale nō, e hāʻawi kēia i 53%, ke hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 2019, a me 72%, ke hoʻohālikelike ʻia i ka 2013.
He mea nui ka noʻonoʻo ʻana i nā kamaʻāina ʻole haole no ka mea e hoʻohana liʻiliʻi paha nā kamaʻāina kamaʻāina ʻole Dominican i nā lawelawe hou e like me nā hōkele, nā hale ʻaina, nā halihali. Kākoʻo ʻia kēia mākaʻi nui ʻole e ka poʻe noho hōkele, ʻoiai, ʻoiai he haole 86% o ka poʻe i ʻae ʻia, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi ma mua o kēia nui, ʻoiai ʻo ka mōʻaukala nā ʻākēneka ʻelua i like ke ʻano o ke kaʻina like.
Aia kekahi ʻikepili ʻokoʻa homogeneous e pili ana i ka mākaʻikaʻi inbound e lilo i mea hopohopo. Hōʻike ʻia kēia ʻikepili ma ka papa aʻe, e pili ana i ka wāwahi ʻana o ka hōʻea ʻana mai e ka ʻāina hānau o nā kamaʻāina ʻole.
Makahiki | North America | ʻEulopa | South America | Central Amerika |
2018 | 60.8% | 22.4% | 12.6% | 3.9% |
2019 | 61.9% | 21.6% | 12% | 4.1% |
2020 | 61.2% | 24.7% | 10.7% | 3% |
2021 | 70.6% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 5% |
ʻO ka ʻikepili pili loa no kā mākou noʻonoʻo ʻana ka ulu ʻana o ka mākaʻikaʻi ʻAmelika Hema me ka emi ʻana o kēlā mea mai ʻEulopa. Inā noʻonoʻo ʻia kēia ʻikepili me ka mea e pili ana i ka lāhui, nona ka hopena kūlike a mākou i ʻōlelo ai, me he mea lā ʻaʻole hiki ke uku ʻia ka hopena maikaʻi ʻole o ka hōʻemi ʻana o ka mākaʻikaʻi ʻEulopa e ka hoʻonui ʻana o ka mākaʻikaʻi ʻo ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa.
Kākoʻo pū ʻia kēia wānana e ka ʻikepili o ʻEulopa e pili ana i ka hoʻōla hou ʻana o nā ea o ʻEulopa. ʻO ka hoʻohālikelike ma waena o kēia kauwela a me nā makahiki i hala e hōʻike ana aia wale nō 40% o ka huakaʻi o 2019 i hoʻihoʻi ʻia, me kahi hoʻomaikaʻi e hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 2020, ke 27% ka hoʻōla. A pono e hoʻohui ʻia ʻaʻole he hōʻailona homogeneous ka holo ʻana o ka ea, ʻoiai ma ʻEulopa ua loaʻa iki ka hoʻoliʻiliʻi o ke kaʻa e makemake ai i ka hapa nui o Dominican Republic, nā huakaʻi intercontinental. I ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻo kēlā mau mea i hoʻōla nui ʻia ʻo nā mokulele haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa intra-ʻEulopa. I kēia lā, pani lākou i ka 71.4% o ka huina, ʻoiai ʻelua mau makahiki i hala aku nei ua kū lākou i 57.1% wale nō, a ʻaʻole pono e nānā ʻole ʻia nā wahi i hāʻawi nui i kēia hopena, ma kekahi ʻano, e hōʻike i nā koho ʻē aʻe i ka hāʻawi huakaʻi mākaʻikaʻi Caribbean.
I kēia mea pono e hoʻohui i nā ʻāpana Green Green Pass ʻaʻole makemake i ka huakaʻi i ʻEulopa paha no ka mea ʻo ka lāʻau lapaʻau i hoʻohana nui ʻia ma Dominican Republic, ʻaʻole ʻae ʻo Sinovac e loaʻa i ka Green Pass. He mea kānalua paha kēia, akā pili maoli nō i ka ʻaoʻao ʻoihana huakaʻi, no laila ʻo ke kiʻi i loaʻa aia kahi ala lōʻihi e hele ai ma mua o ka hoʻi maoli ʻana o ka mākaʻikaʻi Dominican i kāna pae pre-pandemic.
E hilinaʻi i ka loaʻa hou ʻana o ke kūlana pre-pandemic ma muli o ka hopena o ka kaohi ʻana o ka maʻi ahulau ma muli paha o ka manaʻo maikaʻi, a i kekahi hihia, ʻaʻole paha ia e kū i ka wā pōkole.
ʻO ka manaʻo o ia, me ka hāʻawi ʻole i ka nui nui i ka hoʻomaikaʻi o kekahi mau helu kekimala i kēia mau pākēneka, pono e noʻonoʻo e pili ana i nā kulekele hoʻoulu hou e nānā nei i ka wā waena o 2023.
Kākoʻo kahi hōʻike hou e ka World Travel a me ka ʻAha Kūkākūkā Kūkākūkā no nā hana ikaika a nā aupuni, e like me ka hoʻopukapuka ʻana a me ka ʻumeʻume ʻana i nā hoʻopukapuka pilikino pilikino i nā hanana kino a me nā kikohoʻe a me ka paipai ʻana i nā ʻāpana huakaʻi, e like me ka mākaʻikaʻi lapaʻau a i ʻole ka mākaʻikaʻi MICE. Hōʻike kēia i kahi kulekele ākea ākea ākea āpau e pili pū ana i nā ʻāpana ʻē aʻe o ke kaiāulu.
Ua noʻonoʻo ʻia nā manaʻo like me ʻelua mau mahina i hala aku nei e ka luna nui i mālama ʻia no UNCTAD, e koi ana i ka pono e noʻonoʻo hou i ke ʻano hoʻomohala hoʻokipa, paipai i nā mākaʻikaʻi kūloko a me nā kua'āina.
ʻO nā hana i kū nei i ka ʻāina e ʻae i kēia mau hana, a koi kēia i kahi kulekele hoʻoikaika ikaika, hoʻohui ʻia me nā ʻāpana pilikino, me ka ʻole o ka ʻoluʻolu me ka mea e hana nei i kahi hoʻōla. ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo ma ka hopena o kēia makahiki he 4.5 miliona a i ʻole 5 miliona mau hōʻea ʻana mai, aia wale nō i ka hoʻohālikelike ʻia me nā makahiki i hala, ʻaʻole e hana i kahi ʻano nui, ke hana ʻole ʻia nā kūlana no ka hoʻoulu hou ʻana i ka ʻoihana, e ʻae ai ka ʻāina i mālama i kona kūlana alakaʻi i ka mākaʻikaʻi Caribbean.
# pūnaehulehu