Hōʻike hoʻokahi huaʻōlelo iā Brexit a me ka hopena e hiki ai i nā pilina o Pelekane me nā ʻāina ʻē aʻe ke haʻalele ia i ka European Union - huikau. ʻAʻohe mea maopopo e pili ana i nā hopena o nā hanana like ʻole - paʻakikī Brexit, palupalu Brexit, a ʻaʻoheʻaelike.
Ua kuhi ka makaʻōlelo ʻo Lord Desai i kāna hoʻolaha ʻana i kahi hālāwai lehulehu e weliweli ana ke ʻano o ka mākaukau ʻole o ke aupuni Pelekane. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia ʻaʻohe manaʻo o ke aupuni i ka mea e hana ai inā kūʻē ka balota iā Remain. ʻAʻohe mea i ʻaelike he aha ke kuʻikahi kalepa manuahi a i ʻole maopopo e lōʻihi ana ke kūkākūkā ʻana i kēia ʻaelike. Ua kuhi ʻia kēia manaʻo ma ka hui like ma Ladana, i hoʻonohonoho ʻia e ka Democracy Forum, e kekahi mea hoʻopukapuka waiwai, ʻo Linda Yueh. He ʻano hoʻohālikelike kāna. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia no Pelekane e hoʻomaka i nā kūkākūkā kālepa me kekahi ʻāina ʻē aʻe ʻoiai he ʻāpana ia o ka EU e like me ke kūkākūkā ʻana i kāu male hou ʻoiai ʻoe me kāu wahine ma mua.
ʻO nā ʻāina ulu wikiwiki loa ma ʻAsia a kūʻai aku ʻo Pelekane i nā mea i waho ma mua o ka EU. No laila, he mea kūpono no ka UK e nānā i nā manawa kūpono ma ʻAsia e ulu nei nā mea kūʻai o ka waena waena a e pivot nā ʻāina āpau iā Asia i kekahi manawa. ʻO ka snag ʻoiai ʻo Pelekane ka mea kūʻai nui ʻelua o ka honua i ka lawelawe, ʻaʻole uhi ka hapa nui o nā ʻaelike i nā lawelawe. Aia kekahi kānalua no ka makemake o India i nā lawelawe loio mai UK. Hoʻomaopopo ka poʻe loiloi ʻaʻole pono ʻo Pelekane e manaʻo no ka mea makemake ia e hoʻokuʻu i nā lawelawe i nā ʻāina ʻē aʻe e hoʻokipa iā lākou.
No laila, he aha ka mea e hana ai i ka lā ma hope o ka haʻalele ʻana o Pelekane i ka EU ma Malaki 29, 2019? Hāʻawi ʻo Leavers i kahi manaʻolana ʻālohilohi o kahi lede kālepa honua. Eia nō naʻe, inā nānā ka mea i nā mea hiki ke hana, nui nā pale i mua. ʻAʻole e loaʻa hou kahi kuʻikahi kalepa manuahi ʻo Pelekane me ka EU, no laila pono ia e hana ma lalo o nā kānāwai WTO. ʻAʻole maʻalahi ka hoʻololi ʻana ma muli o ke koi ʻia ʻana o nā lālā 160 a me nā lālā o ka WTO e kau inoa ma nāʻaelike. Inā koho ʻo UK no ka hoʻohālikelike Norewai e ʻae ʻo ia i ka neʻe manuahi ʻana o ka poʻe - a ʻo kēia kekahi o nā kumu nui i hoʻokumu i ka hoʻokūkū no ka balota no Brexit; ua kūʻē nui nā poʻe kākoʻo he nui i ka neʻe ʻana, ʻo ia hoʻi mai ʻEulopa.
Kūkākūkā ke kūkākūkā no ka wā e hiki mai ana ma hope o Brexit ke aupuni i hōʻike ʻia e hōʻiliʻili ʻia i 8,000 mau luna e like me nā loio a me nā kauā kīwila i ka hopena o ka makahiki aʻe e hōʻike ana i ka hoʻomākaukau no ka haʻalele ʻana i ka EU me ka ʻole o kahi ʻaelike.
Ua ʻae ka arch Brexiteer a me MP MP Conservative ʻo Jacob Rees-Mogg, 50 mau makahiki paha ka lōʻihi e ʻike ai i ka hopena o Brexit i ka hoʻokele waiwai Pelekane. Ua hoʻomaka ke kākau ʻōlelo ʻo Brexit Dominic Raab i ka ʻōuli o ka pū waikaua i kona hoʻomaopopo ʻana he pono ke aupuni e hana i nā hana e hōʻoia i ka lawa pono o nā lako meaʻai no Pelekane no ka uhi ʻana i ka hopena o ka haʻalele ʻana mai ka European Union.
E kūʻē i kēia ʻano, ke kamaʻilio nei nā Brexiteers i nā manawa kūpono no Pelekane e hoʻonui i ke kālepa me nā ʻāina ʻaʻole EU i ka wā e hoʻomaka ai ka hoʻomaha. Ua ʻōlelo maikaʻi ʻo India a me UK e pili ana i ka hiki ke hoʻonui i nā loulou i ka wā e hoʻokō ai ʻo Brexit. ʻO kahi ʻelele kipa mai ka Confederation of Indian Industry, ma hope o ka hālāwai ʻana me ko lākou mau hoa Pelekane a me nā kuhina o ke aupuni, ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia nā manawa hou e ʻimi ʻia, me India a me UK e hōʻike ana i ʻelua o nā ʻoihana nui o ka honua. Eia nō naʻe, ua ʻōlelo lākou ʻo ka nele o ka maopopo ke kāohi nei i ka holomua. ʻO ka ʻōlelo koʻikoʻi i UK mai nā alakaʻi ʻoihana ʻo India he blunt: "Pono ʻoe e hoʻoholo i kāu mea e makemake ai e hana. He ola maoli kēia e pono ai ke hoʻomau. He kōkua nui ka ʻike ʻana i ka ʻoiaʻiʻo iā mākou. He manawa kū hoʻokahi kēia no nā ʻaoʻao ʻelua. "
ʻO Kauka David Landsman, Luna Hoʻokele o ka hui Tata a me ka noho o CII-UK, ua kuhikuhi i nā lālā he nui e wehe ana no ka hana pū India-UK. ʻO kahi ʻāpana nui ka ʻenehana holomua. Makemake ʻo India i ka ikaika hana mākaukau mai nā kula kiʻekiʻe. Ua ʻike ʻo ia i ka hoʻokipa, kaʻa a me nā ʻenehana ʻenehana me nā wahi ʻē aʻe i mākaukau no ka hoʻomohala. Ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia e pono ʻo India a me UK e hōʻike i kahi ala hou aʻe i hiki iā lākou ke hāʻawi i kekahi i kekahi. ʻOiai he nui nā manawa kūpono, ua ʻae ʻo Kauka Landsman e piʻi aʻe paha nā overhead ma muli o ke k modelkohu o Brexit.
Aia ma kahi ʻaelike holoʻokoʻa holoʻokoʻa ma waena o nā alakaʻi ʻoihana India e pili ana i ka hiki ke kali ʻia e hoʻopaʻa ʻia me ka ulu pālua ʻana o India a me ka manaʻo e loaʻa koke iā Kina ma ke ʻano he alakaʻi waiwai honua. Eia nō naʻe, kuhikuhi lākou i hoʻokahi pilikia e waiho mau ana i nā kī nui - nā pilikia a nā ʻInia i kū ai i ka loaʻa ʻana o nā wisa i UK. Ua ʻōhumu lākou no ka loaʻa ʻole o ka ʻaelike kaulike nā haumāna ʻInia. Ua hoʻokahakaha ʻia ka makaʻu o nā haumāna ʻInia i ka wā i hala ʻole ai kā lākou papala i ka wā i ʻike ʻia he 95% o nā haumāna India i hoʻi i ka home ke pau kā lākou papa.
ʻO ka Pelekikena CII, ʻo Mr. Rakesh Bharti Mittal, kahi e hōʻike ai i ka hiki no India e hoʻoulu hou i ka pilina o ka hoʻokele waiwai a me ke kalepa me nā ʻāina ʻo Commonwealth, ma ʻApelika hoʻi. ʻO India ka hoʻokele waiwai nui loa ma ka Commonwealth e hōʻike ana i kahi poloka kālepa nui. Me nā poʻe ʻē aʻe i ke kaiāulu ʻoihana, makemake nui ʻo Mr. Mittal e lilo ʻo India i kuleana nui i ka Commonwealth.
ʻO ke alo o ke Kuhina Nui India, ʻo Narendra Modi, ma ka hālāwai o nā Aupuni Hui PūʻIa o UK ma ʻApelila i lilo ia i hōʻailona no ko India hoihoi hou i ka hui 53-lālā. ʻO Richard Burge, ka Luna Nui o ka Commonwealth Enterprise and Investment Council, i ʻōlelo ʻo ia "ʻO ke kī i kahi kūleʻa kūwaho ʻana ʻo ia ka expeditionary a me nā mea kālepa o nā mea kālepa. ʻO ka makaʻu no ka UK ma hope o ke kūʻai aku ʻana i ka EU (ma ke ʻano he mākeke kūloko) ua lilo paha ka hapa nui o nā mea kālepa Pelekane i ke ʻano o ka pīhoihoi a me ka makemake no ka pilikia e pono ai ka lawe maoli ʻana. Akā ʻo ka nūhou ʻo ka Commonwealth i kēia manawa he hōʻuluʻulu o ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hoʻokele waiwai a me ka ulu ʻana o ka waiwai i hoʻokumu ʻia i loko o nā demokalaka ikaika a kūpaʻa hoʻi e pono ai ka UK ke hui kūlohelohe.
ʻAʻole hiki ke ʻike ʻia ka hoʻohālikelike ma waena o nā hoʻokokoke ʻana o India a me Kina ma ka pae honua. ʻIke ʻia nā hana a India e nā mea haʻi ʻōlelo e like me ke ʻano maikaʻi ke hoʻohālikelike ʻia me kā Kina, kahi i manaʻo ʻia he mea nui aʻe ia i nā ʻāina aliʻi. ʻO kā Kina $ 62 biliona kūkulu hale kūkulu hale ma Pakistan i manaʻo ʻia e kekahi ma ke ʻano he mea komo hewa i kona noho aliʻi. Pēlā nō, ua hōʻaiʻē ʻo Sri Lanka i nā piliona kālā mai Kina e hoʻomohala i nā papahana mega. Hopohopo ka poʻe loiloi i ka hiki ʻole iā Sri Lanka ke uku i kēia mau hōʻaiʻē e ʻae ana iā Kina e kāohi i kēia mau papahana ʻoihana pono, e hāʻawi ana iā ia i kahi kūkaʻina i ka ʻāina.
No India, ʻo ka EU, me Pelekane ma ke ʻano he lālā, hāʻawi i kahi counterweight i ko Kina mana ma ʻAsia. ʻO ka nīnau koʻikoʻi inā e nānā ʻia ʻo Britain e India ma ke ʻano he hoa waiwai waiwai ma kāna ponoʻī ma waho o ka EU. No ke aha e makemake ai ʻo India e kūkākūkā i nā ʻaelike ʻokoʻa me Pelekane ke haʻalele ia i ka EU ke loaʻa ma lalo o ka hoʻonohonoho o kēia manawa ke komo koke i nā ʻāina lālā he 27. I kēia manawa, makemake ʻo India e ʻimi i ka hoʻopukapuka a me nā manawa kalepa me Pelekane ke haʻalele ia i ka EU. Eia nō naʻe, hiki ke pau ke ahonui inā hoʻomau ka huikau ma luna o nā kikoʻī kikoʻī o ko Britain haki mai ʻEulopa. ʻO kā India manaʻo i kēia manawa, ua koho balota nā poʻe o Pelekane, pono ʻo Pelekane i kēia manawa e hoʻomaka me ka hoʻomaʻamaʻa i ka wā e hiki mai ana ma waho o ka European Union. ʻOiai, aia wale nō kahi mea hou aʻe, ʻaʻole paha e materialize ʻo Brexit. No laila, ʻoiai ke hoʻopaʻapaʻa pau ʻole a me nā kuhi manaʻo, noho aliʻi ka huikau.
