ʻO ka noiʻi hou ʻana o ka ʻoihana huakaʻi e hōʻike ana i ka emi ʻana o ka manaʻo huakaʻi honua i ka makahiki 2025 i ʻAmelika ma waena o nā mākeke inbound nui, me ka haʻahaʻa o ke koi ma mua o nā pae i ʻike ʻia ma 2024.
ʻO ke aʻo ʻana, mai Ianuali a ʻApelila 2025 a loaʻa nā lā huakaʻi a hiki i Sepatemaba, e nānā ana i nā miliona o nā huli mokulele i ka US mai ʻEulopa, nā aupuni Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), a me Australia.
Hōʻike nā ʻike i ka emi ʻana o ka makahiki ma mua o ka makahiki i ka manaʻo huakaʻi i ka US ma nā mākeke i nānā ʻia.
Ma keʻano kikoʻī, ʻike nā ʻāina ʻo ʻEulopa (EU 27) i kahi emi iki o 0.3 pakeneka, ʻoiai ʻo Australia a me nā ʻāina GCC i loaʻa i kahi hāʻule nui o 0.5 mau pākēneka i hoʻohālikelike ʻia i ka manawa like ma 2024.
ʻO kēia mau hoʻololi, i ʻike ʻia i nā miliona o nā hulina, e hōʻike ana i nā loli koʻikoʻi i ka manaʻo a me nā manaʻo o ka poʻe huakaʻi.
Hōʻike ka noiʻi i ka volatility o ka noi mai nā mākeke inbound i kālai ʻia. Hōʻike ʻia ʻo ka emi ʻana o ka manaʻo huakaʻi ʻaʻole ma muli o ka makemake ʻole e kipa aku i ka US, akā ma muli o ka piʻi ʻana o ka kānalua i waena o ka poʻe huakaʻi hele lōʻihi e pili ana i ka hoʻolālā huakaʻi mua, e alakaʻi ana i nā manawa alakaʻi pōkole. ʻO kēia māhele o ka hoʻolālā huakaʻi he pilikia no ka US, no ka mea, e ʻimi ana ka poʻe huakaʻi i nā wahi ʻē aʻe.
Hoʻemi haʻahaʻa i ka manaʻo huakaʻi ma nā mākeke komo nui o ʻEulopa
E like me ka mea i hana ʻia ma hope o Ianuali 2025 ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, ʻo ka hoʻolaha ʻana o nā kumukūʻai mai ʻApelila i hala aku nei ua hoʻopilikia i ka koi hoʻoikaika ʻana o ʻEulopa, aia nō ma lalo o 2024 mau pae i ka wā i nānā ʻia. I ka hopena o ʻApelila, ua hopu ʻo ʻAmelika i ka 5.5% o ka nui o nā huli mokulele i hoʻokuʻu ʻia e nā ʻāina EU 27 i ka wā i nānā ʻia. Hoʻopili kēia i ka emi haʻahaʻa, ʻo ka awelika -0.3 mau pākēneka o kēlā me kēia makahiki.
ʻO ka koi Pelekane, ʻoiai i hoʻomaka mua ʻia, hōʻike i nā hōʻailona o ka hoʻihoʻi ʻana ma o ka pōkole pōkole i nā pae o ka makahiki i hala ma ka waena o Malaki, akā i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ʻApelila, ma hope o ka hoʻolaha ʻana o nā kumukūʻai e Trump Administration, ua hāʻule hou ka koi inspirational -0.8 pakeneka o ka makahiki-ma-makahiki (hoʻemi haʻahaʻa). Ma ka hopena o ʻApelila, ua hoʻopaʻa ʻia ka ʻikepili ma 8.1% e hōʻike ana i kahi ʻano hoʻihoʻi nāwaliwali e hiki ke pōmaikaʻi mai ka ʻaelike bilateral ma nā kumukūʻai ma waena o ka UK a me ka US i hoʻolaha ʻia ma Mei 8th.
ʻO ka ʻikepili maʻamau no Kelemania, Italia, a me Farani e noho ana ma kahi o 4.7% ma ka hopena o ʻApelila. Ua hoʻopaʻa ʻo Kelemania a me Italia i ka emi nui ma kahi kokoke -1 pakeneka i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 2024 ma hope o ka hoʻonui ʻana o ke aupuni US i kā lākou kulekele tariff, kahi hoʻolaha i like ka hopena ma Farani. ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, ʻo ka manaʻo huakaʻi Farani, e hoʻohuli ana i nā pae 2024, e hāʻule hou i ka waena o ʻApelila, e hōʻiliʻili ana i kahi -0.5% pākēneka haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa i kēlā me kēia makahiki i nā pule i nānā ʻia.
ʻO ka maopopo ʻole i ka GCC a me kahi hiʻohiʻona like ʻole no Australia
ʻOiai ʻaʻole ia i waena o nā wahi i makemake nui ʻia no nā ʻāina ʻo Gulf Arab, ʻo ka US ka 1.7% o ka nui o nā huli mokulele i hoʻokuʻu ʻia e kēia mau ʻāina ma waena o Pepeluali a me ʻApelila, a ke noho nei ka makemake holoʻokoʻa ma lalo o nā pae 2024, e hōʻike ana i kahi emi nui o -0.5 pakeneka o ka makahiki i kēlā me kēia makahiki.
Hōʻike ka ʻikepili i ka hāʻule ʻana o ka noi huakaʻi mai United Arab Emirates i kēlā me kēia pule e -0.75 pakeneka ma ka awelika, he emi nui e noʻonoʻo ana, ma ka hopena o ʻApelila, ua noho ka mākeke US ma UAE i 2.1%.
Eia kekahi, ma ka hopena o ʻApelila, 0.9% o nā hulina mokulele mai Saudi Arabia e kuhikuhi ana i ka US, e hāʻule ana i ka awelika nui o -0.3 pakeneka pākēneka i kēlā me kēia makahiki.
