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ʻO ka hoʻoweliweli hou o Omicron: ʻO ka mākaʻikaʻi ʻo Hawaiʻi i make i loko o nā lā?

Mākaukau nā hōkele o Hawaii ma mua o $ 1 biliona o nā poho

Hāʻawi ka Hawaiʻi Pandemic Applied Modeling Work Group (HiPAM), he pūʻulu o ka poʻe epidemiologist, ʻepekema data, limahana olakino, a me nā ʻoihana i ke kōkua i ka Mokuʻāina ʻo Hawaiʻi e hoʻoponopono i nā pilikia paʻakikī o kēia maʻi maʻi. Ua kūpaʻa ʻo HiPAM i ka hoʻololi ʻana i nā mea hana e ʻike ai i ka hoʻoholo ʻana a me ka hoʻolālā ʻana i ka moʻolelo no ka pōʻaiapili kūʻokoʻa o Hawaiʻi.

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ʻO ka Omicron COVID Outlook no Hawaii ʻaʻole ia he mea liʻiliʻi ma mua o ka pōʻino a me ka haʻalulu!

Ua loaa ka hoike ma ka Paena pūnaewele HiPAM.

I ka wā pōʻino loa o ka maʻi maʻi COVID-19, 100 mau hihia hou i ka Aloha Ua hoʻopaʻa ʻia ka mokuʻāina i ka mokuʻāina. A hiki i Dekemaba 11 100 mau hihia hou i kēlā me kēia lā ua hopohopo akā ua hoʻomau ʻia no kekahi manawa. Ua wehe ʻia nā hale kūʻai, nā hale ʻaina, nā hui pō.

Me ka hoʻokomo ʻia ʻana o Omicron ma kahi o Dekemaba 11, ua hoʻomaka nā helu maʻi hou ma ka mokupuni ʻo Oʻahu. Me ka ʻoi aku o 800 mau maʻi hou i kēia lā ua manaʻo ʻo HiPAM e piʻi aʻe kēlā mau helu ma ke ʻano o ka 50th US State e manaʻo ʻia ʻaʻole ka mana i ka wā e hiki mai ana i ka COVID-19.

Ma ka lā 31 o Dekemaba, hiki ke piʻi aku ka nui o nā maʻi hou i kēlā me kēia lā ma mua o 2000 i ka lā ma ka New Year's Eve a hiki ke piʻi i luna o 15,000 mau maʻi hou i kēlā me kēia lā ma kahi o ka liʻiliʻi o 1.5 miliona mau kānaka ma hope o Ianuali.

Hoʻopaʻa ʻia nā mokulele a me nā hōkele no ka hoʻokipa ʻana i nā malihini mai ka ʻāina a me ka honua no nā lā hoʻomaha e hiki mai ana.

Me nā moena haukapila 34 i hoʻohana ʻia no nā maʻi COVID i ka lā 11 Dekemaba, pono e piʻi kēia helu i 370 ma ka hopena o ka makahiki, ʻoi aku ia ma mua o 10 mau helu o kēia manawa. Hiki ke hoʻohana ʻia nā moena ICU 70 i ka hopena o kēia mahina, i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me 8 ma Dekemaba 11.

Manaʻo ʻia ka piʻi ʻana o ka make mai 1018 mai ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ka maʻi maʻi ma Malaki 2020 a i 1113 i ka hopena o kēia mahina. ʻAʻole ʻike i ka make ʻana o ka Omicron hou, hiki i nā wānana ke lilo i ʻino no Ianuali.

Wahi a kahi hōʻike i hoʻokuʻu ʻia i ka hale maʻi Civil Beat hiki ke hiki i 800 i Ianuali, a me 1150 i Pepeluali. He pōʻino kēia. Ua ʻōlelo ka poʻe loea ʻaʻole i loaʻa iā Hawaiʻi ke koʻokoʻo, nā moena, a me ka oxygen e mālama i kēlā koi i ka ʻōnaehana olakino.

I ka piko o ka maʻi maʻi, 404 mau maʻi maʻi maʻi maʻi ma ka haukapila o Hawaiʻi i ka lā ʻino loa. I kēlā manawa, ua lele ʻia nā limahana haukapila 700 mai nā mokuʻāina ʻē aʻe o ʻAmelika, a ua kūkulu ʻia nā hale lole lapaʻau.

Ma kahi hoʻokuʻu paʻi, ua ʻōlelo ʻo HiPAM hiki iā ia ke hāʻawi i kahi wānana maikaʻi aʻe inā hoʻokuʻu nā luna olakino o ka mokuʻāina i ka ʻikepili e pili ana i ka nui o nā hihia Covid hou a me nā maʻi maʻi maʻi i hoʻopaʻa ʻia.

ʻAʻole maopopo i ka nui o nā hihia ma Hawaiʻi i hiki ke hāʻawi ʻia i ka mana Delta a i ʻole Omicron.

Ke manaʻo nei ʻo HiPAM ke hoʻokele nei ka omicron i ka nui o ka hōʻeha hou o Covid, e like me ka hōʻike ʻo Civil Beat.

Wahi a ka hōʻike ua lawa ʻo Hawaiʻi i nā ventilator e mālama i nā maʻi maʻi 800 COVID-19, akā ʻaʻole lawa ka Oxygen i ka mokuʻāina. ʻAʻole hiki ke hoʻolele ʻia ka oxygen i loko, no ka mea he pilikia loa ke lawe ʻia ma nā mokulele. Pono e hoʻouna ʻia ka oxygen e ka ukana moana. ʻAʻohe manawa hou e hoʻomaʻamaʻa i kēia.

I kēia manawa ʻaʻole i hoʻolaha ʻo Kāpena Ige o Hawaiʻi i nā kapu, a ke hōʻea nui mai nei nā mākaʻikaʻi, ʻo ia hoʻi no ka lā Kalikimaka a me ka makahiki hou e hiki mai ana. I kēia lā ua hoʻokiʻekiʻe ʻia ka pae pōʻino no ka COVID ma Hawaiʻi.

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ʻO Juergen T Steinmetz

Ua hana mau ʻo Juergen Thomas Steinmetz i ka huakaʻi a me ka ʻoihana hoʻokipa mai kona wā ʻōpio i Kelemania (1977).
Ua hoʻokumu ʻo ia eTurboNews i ka makahiki 1999 ma ke ʻano he nūhou pūnaewele mua no ka ʻoihana hoʻokipa huakaʻi o ka honua.

Waiho i ka manaʻo